Indeed, but this isn't a long-term drought per se. BWI is 6" in the hole before today. If forecasts for the next 10-15 days verify, we could be truly chipping into that deficit rather than just having a normal October.
GEFS and EPS both supportive of some cold shots in the last 5-7 days of the month. Something to keep in mind this winter is that the new GFS has a distinct cold bias at long ranges. It's going to really tease us I expect. But I think first frost/freeze for the 'burbs at least looking quite possible before Halloween.
Yeah, next week looking good for now as well with a similar sort of storm/storms. BWI is running a ~6" deficit on the year, which is a pretty big hole to climb out of, but maybe possible.