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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    Wettest year on record for BWI after yesterday’s storm. Over 63” now with a month and a half left in the year.
  2. WxUSAF
    Final spreadsheet 2018 First Freeze Contest.xlsx
  3. WxUSAF
    Drumroll please! The 2018 Mid-Atlantic First Freeze Contest winner is: @2010 extreme! @2010 extreme won with a total departure of just 9 days, @Cobalt came in 2nd place with 11 days, followed by @yoda with 13 days and @nj2va with 15 days. Our combined average dates resulted in a departure of 32 days.
  4. WxUSAF
    First freeze contest is over! I’ll post results later today.
  5. WxUSAF
    BWI: 31.5” DCA: 22.7” IAD: 35.2” RIC: 21.1” SBY: 16.6” MBY: 34.2”
  6. WxUSAF
    I like this a lot
  7. WxUSAF
    Lol
  8. WxUSAF
    BWI hit 32 on the intrahour. RIC fell short.
  9. WxUSAF
    Yeah could be. Don’t think anyone gets to 32 this week but next week is probably an even money or better chance.
  10. WxUSAF
    34 entries this year. Our average values are: DCA: 11/17/18 BWI: 11/3/18 IAD: 10/30/18 RIC: 11/16/18 Tie: 4.03" So a week to 10 days past climo for the most part. DCA value is close to climo I believe. Looks like next week has the first legit threat, particularly for the non-DCA locations. IAD has 1.02" of rain to date for reference. 2018 First Freeze Contest.xlsx
  11. WxUSAF
    DCA: 11/24 BWI: 11/8 IAD: 11/8 RIC: 11/17 Tie: 4.7
  12. WxUSAF
    DCA has gone into December I know. Don’t know about the other 3.
  13. WxUSAF
    This is my current thinking.
  14. WxUSAF
    Although we're suffering through endless summer and tropical moistness, we should, in theory, be only weeks away from the first freeze in our region (minus DCA, which may never have a freeze again). You are forecasting the first day the temperature reaches 32F at these locations: DCA: BWI: IAD: RIC: Tiebreaker: October rainfall at IAD. Lowest total departure wins! This thread will lock at midnight September 30th.
  15. WxUSAF
    My hands have been very dry.
  16. WxUSAF
    Maybe it did and I just forgot. But I remember having no issues driving to work.
  17. WxUSAF
    I thought 3/25/13 was ridiculous. I had ~6", nothing on the streets, didn't even get a day off work, and it was all gone by lunch.
  18. WxUSAF
    My WAG is IAD and BWI at least get a fraction of an inch in February and then all 3 airports get 3" of slop overnight in mid-March that melts by 10am. It's like 12-13 but even worse.
  19. WxUSAF
    I think that's the idea, yes. So low southern ice and the ridiculously low Arctic ice gives you that insane figure.
  20. WxUSAF
    Ooof. Holy shi-t.
  21. WxUSAF
    Saw on Twitter that the IAD sounding had 1.8" of precipitable water, which sets the all-time Dec-Apr record.
  22. WxUSAF
    What's the most anomalous single day departure on record for the airports? We're looking at a +30 or so for xmas eve?
  23. WxUSAF
    New paper linking the cold winter of 13-14 with the warm central Pacific SST anomaly. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL063083/full
  24. WxUSAF
    10 below normal months at BWI in the period of November 13-February 15. February 15, January 15, November 14, August 14, July 14, April 14, March 14, February 14, January 14, November 13 That's a pretty impressive run given climate and UHI both progressively working against below normal temps. Maybe some of the stat-minded folks can tell us how exceptional it is?
  25. WxUSAF
    1st time with 4 consecutive BN months at BWI since 1970 apparently? According to Tony Pann.
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