WxUSAF
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Everything posted by WxUSAF
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20.7 low this morning just after midnight
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Webb posted this elsewhere, I think it’s Roundy’s low frequency forcing prog. It’s not always perfect, but this is a solid look by Xmas week. Maybe it’s rushing it a bit, but this pattern probably recycles throughout the winter and with a predominant -EPO, our source region will stay cold.
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It was 55 at BWI on the 23rd and 66 later that week.
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The Xmas torch is the most consistent aspect of our climate.
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Down to 25 already
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It moved a lot closer to something actually, yes. Look at the two shortwaves out west at 12z vs 0z
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Yeah and all in the bad direction so far lol
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Agreed. Slower than gfs, but looks like 6z gfs with how it’s starting to phase the shortwaves.
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Low of 24
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GEFS has some nice hits next weekend
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Wtf was that? Fix in for the chiefs yet again
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Nice happy hour hit for VA next weekend on gfs
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These guys say pattern continues in mid December fwiw. Some cold analogs in that group.
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2-4” of snow over 2 weeks isn’t much of a signal for anything in January or February. But it’s respectable for the first 2 weeks of December.
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Low of 32. Hopefully warmest low temp for awhile.
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Omg Bears botched that soooo badly
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Dusting-1.5” on euro next week from a clipper
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GEFS on board EPS too…
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Even if the trough retracts westward, it looks more central CONUS-based rather than a deep -PNA as is typical in a Niña. Wouldn’t be a shit-the-blinds look. But let’s see what develops over the next 2 weeks first?
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Happy thanksgiving, weenies. Approaching 0.5” of rain today. Morning low was 41.5.
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DCA: 9.1” IAD: 14.5” BWI: 14.3” RIC: 7.8” SBY: 7.2”
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Yeah that looks nice. GEFS pretty similar, just less intense in the height anomalies. Both show us BN for the duration and precip bumps up starting late next week.
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I mean, when was the last warning level snowfall in DC in December? 2009?? There are reasons to be encouraged obviously. We need anomalously cold air in the first half of December to even have a chance. But this could be the winteriest December in years for our area and we could still end up with 2-4” of snow total…
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Yeah it looked good. Gfs is a parade of northern stream clippers that all manage to barely screw us lol. Either way, all showing potential by late next week and beyond.
