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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    I know this PD3 wave will likely be suppressed, but damn, the look of that storm brewing in the plains on all the globals around D7 gets my loins movin’…
  2. WxUSAF
    Early word is JB’s favoring 95-96 as his top analog
  3. WxUSAF
    Gets northern MD and the eastern shore actually
  4. WxUSAF
    Meanwhile the GGEM took a huge jump slower and stronger
  5. WxUSAF
    Just so I’m following, is the point of this conversation that the current D10 period does not look as favorable for a big snowstorm as it did when it was D15-25?
  6. WxUSAF
    More snow for us. Is that how that works?
  7. WxUSAF
    lol I don’t think our winter week in January held firm at all besides it being chilly. It was looking plausibly snowless even 48 hours before the Monday storm.
  8. WxUSAF
    JB promised us Michelangelo’s own personal arctic hounds, so I’m sure it’s coming!
  9. WxUSAF
    GEFS seems to like a few days earlier, but there’s a signal roughly at the same time as the eps on the 6z GEFS.
  10. WxUSAF
    It somehow unfathomably misses two phases and then partially catches the 3rd. Bizarre.
  11. WxUSAF
    This probably will slip away in the end, but at least we have something to watch while we wait for our HECS to lock in at D10 and never waver.
  12. WxUSAF
    GEFS has been consistently suppressed for the PD3 wave. 12z looks a little closer but still pretty far south and OTS.
  13. WxUSAF
    lol damn that’s a HECS for Raleigh-RIC corridor
  14. WxUSAF
    This is basically the solution the gfs had yesterday and the day before with the NS running ahead and the souther steam wave running the boundary. Just a bit farther south. Southeast weenies getting a case of the vapors over this run though…
  15. WxUSAF
    Yeah that’s a big jump
  16. WxUSAF
    If someone tries to post a snow depth map, it’s an insta-ban
  17. WxUSAF
    B L U E B-A-B-Y
  18. WxUSAF
  19. WxUSAF
    Extrapolated 6z gfs looks awful for the psu storm though. Disappointing
  20. WxUSAF
    PD3 is back on 6z gfs. 18-30” for the mountains. 10-15” for the metros.
  21. WxUSAF
    DT going with the euro for this event. Wow, didn't see that coming.
  22. WxUSAF
    0z euro is gorgeous…until you look at temps.
  23. WxUSAF
    Dq fuq is this? pinned
  24. WxUSAF
    I like the setup for V-day a lot. Simple, classic. Just got a shit airmass ahead of it which leads to the need for a needle threading with the northern stream. But if it fails, there’s more chances beyond.
  25. WxUSAF
    Only the new gfs could take such a perfect setup and turn it into a rainstorm. I’m sending a strongly worded email to NCEP to correct the 12z run.
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