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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    Nothing would really surprise me for us. All snow, nearly all rain, mix. Think we see some accumulation, but big bust potential on both sides.
  2. WxUSAF
  3. WxUSAF
    See you Monday at 12z
  4. WxUSAF
    I have to say, I’m pretty happy with the 12z suite for MBY so far.
  5. WxUSAF
    3-6” is a good storm for us anytime, let alone march. If I had to WAG right now, I’d say 2-3” for us and @Scraff, but we might have to measure it in batches with melting or rain in between. 3-5” by I70, and 4-8” for the far NW folks.
  6. WxUSAF
    Yup. Going to be rate and elevation dependent. @jayyy could see a couple inches more than me only a few miles away. I actually think LWX’s current forecast is pretty good, but could be a sharper dividing line unless there is more widespread front or backend snow. At the height of the storm tomorrow evening there will be a brutal dividing line.
  7. WxUSAF
    What are euro surface temps tomorrow afternoon and evening?
  8. WxUSAF
    I think you’re right @psuhoffman about the weaker/drier trend. I’m also a bit worried about surface temps tomorrow afternoon and evening. 3k NAM is above freezing for almost everyone south of the M/D line even while it’s snowing. If it’s ripping, that will accumulate at 33-34, but light snow will mostly be white rain.
  9. WxUSAF
    3 week stretch that nukes the grass followed by endless deluge that allows the weeds to run rampant.
  10. WxUSAF
    4.6” to hit 30” for the season. A high bar for tomorrow but not impossible.
  11. WxUSAF
    Hope so. I think there could be a big difference between your location and mine. A 10-20mi shift would be huge, but that’s in the noise from last nights euro.
  12. WxUSAF
    2.3” today for 25.4” season total.
  13. WxUSAF
    Because people assumed it would “trend” to some unrealistic 6-12”.
  14. WxUSAF
    Are you over 30” yet?
  15. WxUSAF
    We’re likely not going to see a “decent” event out of this. Enjoy your slop. It still pads stats.
  16. WxUSAF
    I voted yes. Think we can get 2.2” in the next 10 days.
  17. WxUSAF
    Yup, all rain except for mappy and Hoffman and the M/D line crew.
  18. WxUSAF
    12z GFS coming out.
  19. WxUSAF
    Going to start a new thread for Sunday/Monday.
  20. WxUSAF
    Gfs has 3 straight days with highs in the 20s next week. That’s legit. FV3 a bit warmer FWIW.
  21. WxUSAF
    New thread for Friday
  22. WxUSAF
    Cold spring?
  23. WxUSAF
    EPS evolution looks solid to me. GEFS has the same general idea but much more progressive and doesn't dig the northern stream like the EPS.
  24. WxUSAF
    IAD: 5.1” DCA: 1.2” BWI: 2.4” RIC: 0” MBY: 3.1”
  25. WxUSAF
    Absolutely is not linear. Still can snow in March.
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