WxUSAF
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There's been discussion around that MJO Phase 8/1 in Ninos with early season SSWs DOES correlate to a SE ridge.
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@Bob Chill was saying how weenieish the 12z GEFS was, but it has a SE ridge the entire time as well and has the -NAO/50-50 combo.
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Don’t fall too in love with the TT GFS snow map as a lot of that is sleet. But I think a slightly improved result for us regardless. Weaker low is a big plus, but weaker and farther north high pressure offsets that to a degree.
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Yes
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The depiction of Monday’s wave can’t help but remind me of our big January storm and last Friday. Both times models show this respectable wave in the plAins and Midwest that dies as it gets to us in the midrange. Both storms trended better for us in the short range.
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When did tony Pann get a podcast? And who listens to it?
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Dude...wrong thread.
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New thread for next weeks storm chance. This thread will still be the NAO/soi/EPO/PNA/MJO extravaganza.
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Can we get another one to break in our favor in a bad pattern? Fast flow with lots of shortwaves going to make for jumpy forecasts.
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Dang, some respectable hits in the GEFS for Monday. Let’s do it.
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Bird in hand and all, let’s keep some focus on that first wave for Monday. Looks better on both gfs and GGEM.
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Do I wash my car or wait for a deluge next week?
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Everyone’s always HECS hunting
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If the 11-12th stuff survives for another couple days I’ll start a thread on it.
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If it holds...
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Is it baseball season yet?
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Guessing it was higher scoring?
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Won $200 for a 3-3 3rd quarter score!!
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It looks good on the plot @C.A.P.E. posted.
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The two features that are becoming more apparent late next week are the strong EPO ridge and the 50/50 low. Both looked much weaker a few days ago. Now they appear to be the big drivers. And working in tandem can be nice for us. We’ve been hunting a -NAO, but the 50/50 works about the same to limit cutters and enhance cold air flow to us. Looks insanely active starting later this week. Whatever the next frozen precip event for us is, I’d wager it’s messy and not pure snow. But I think we’ll get there.
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Cranky’s view of the next 6 weeks
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It snowed 3 times this week
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1.5" today for 3.1" this week and 17.3" on the season. Less than 2" to go to beat last year. Feeling pretty good about that.
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Damn my neighbor reported 1.8” to LWX. I feel cheated.
