WxUSAF

Dunno. I think bwi and iad would be a decent first check on that, although the uhi at bwi and iad has clearly gotten worse over time as well.

It’s indisputably gotten warmer over the last 30 years, with the last 10-15 years really spiking. When a degree or two is important for precip type in winter storms, that matters. Everyone in the area has gotten a few ticks warmer, but the burbs had more cushion since they’re colder to begin with. Add in some extra help from the UHI for the areas inside the beltways and it just makes marginal events into white rain or plain rain. Unfortunately, the burbs are following along behind on warming and will also probably see marginal events slip away in the coming decades.

Euro a tick better vs 0z. More robust with that thin initial band that goes through early in the morning and then gets precip in quicker when it’s still cold later.

Gfs is actually pretty thumpy. Especially for C and NE MD.

Insane warmth, fog, and wind. Winter 19-20.

Temps aside, there’s just no precip on the 3k NAM. It’s a showery cold front passage.

Suffice it to say, the 18z GFS working out would change my outlook on the winter substantially.

As per usual since 12k NAM has always had an Uber wet bias and 3k fixes that substantially.

Ridge is slightly weaker on the euro vs 0z, so it’s a bit better. Just a bit better direction on the WAA precip and it would be 2-3” for MD. Just missed us and gets Philly.

Like everything about it screams classic I95 snowstorm and it’s rain to Scranton. I guess maybe that primary low starts too far N and erodes the mid levels before the coastal, but damn.

Yup, still bleeding. Actually euro and gfs both have the shortwave slightly weaker relative to 0z at least, but the damn ridge keeps growing each run. Not sure why exactly. I think the slower forward progress is part of that.

Gfs setting up the HECS at 384hr

Still bleeding the wrong way with storm and ridge strength. And as @psuhoffman showed, a more consolidated storm has less overrunning in the warm sector. Good news is we’re still 4.5 days away. Bad news is we’re still 4.5 days away.

I hope I’m sufficiently cold

Euro has an over amped bias but gfs has been too wet often. Either way, I like the intense arctic high. Lots of wiggle room to still get frozen.

Well said @psuhoffman. At best this weekend will be some front end snow/mix before rain. That’s fine, it was almost certain to not be pure snow. But big possibilities rolling into the following week.

Well it was a fun regular season. But the final blizzard watch turned into a driving 35F rainstorm.

I just can’t

Wtf is happening

OMG

Well that was a generally crappy 1st half, but only down by 1 score and playing better.

Stupid penalties and bad clock management. The ravens of old. I’m ready for the new ravens to return

Defense has woken up at least. Now need offense to respond

I’m drinking heavily so I don’t feel the knife when @WxWatcher007 puts it in

F