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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. 0.1” line basically runs 95 in MD tomorrow on the euro. Gfs and GGEM are both more.
  2. I’m up in sykesville for a baseball game already and plenty of frost here. Low of 40 at home. Meh. edit... down to 39
  3. 18z gfs as rainy as it’s yet been for Sunday. 0.5” contour just south of DC.
  4. Those in the know know that RIC usually freezes around BWIs date, not DCAs.
  5. Yesterday was a whopping 1F below normal at BWI. Second below normal day of the month. Only +7F on the month now!
  6. DCA approaching a record length of time between sub 60F highs
  7. Hell, take last year and sub in a "normal" December and it ends up being borderline great year.
  8. Yeah, I've been looking ahead and forgot to pay much attention to this weekend. Maybe IAD too? 3k NAM would suggest so.
  9. ^pants tent in DJFM. First freeze pretty likely IMO for perhaps everyone but DCA in the October 25-Nov 3 window, assuming these looks come fairly close to verifying.
  10. NOAA winter outlook is out. We're in the above normal temp/above normal precip area, but lowest color contour for each. Temp pattern much more Nina then Nino. Precip doesn't really look like either, but I guess a bit more Nina with lower precip in CA and TX/LA.
  11. Damn I'd love to see this look in 6-8 weeks. For now it probably just means IAD's (and maybe the other airports') first freeze, some mountain snow showers, and possibly chilly rain for us.
  12. Jackpotville getting into the swing of things. 1.18” IMBY
  13. Damn. Euro is 3-5" of rain through next Thursday for the metro corridor (includes today).
  14. 1.1" today. Damn, you ain't kidding. Euro is a dumping for Sunday-Monday.
  15. Indeed, but this isn't a long-term drought per se. BWI is 6" in the hole before today. If forecasts for the next 10-15 days verify, we could be truly chipping into that deficit rather than just having a normal October.
  16. 0.81”. Let’s see how long this lasts.
  17. 0.34" with 0.11" in 10 minutes.
  18. 0.11" IMBY so far. Biggest rain since late August.
  19. Rain on the radar! And it’s coming this way!
  20. Ukie looks a lot like the euro.
  21. Euro still looks great for tomorrow. 1”+ for the entire metro area.
  22. That looks like it will be long duration which will be good for the rain to soak in.
  23. GFS juicier for Annapolis-Baltimore and points east. NoVA screw zone.
  24. GEFS and EPS both supportive of some cold shots in the last 5-7 days of the month. Something to keep in mind this winter is that the new GFS has a distinct cold bias at long ranges. It's going to really tease us I expect. But I think first frost/freeze for the 'burbs at least looking quite possible before Halloween.
  25. Yeah, next week looking good for now as well with a similar sort of storm/storms. BWI is running a ~6" deficit on the year, which is a pretty big hole to climb out of, but maybe possible.
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