WxUSAF
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Everything posted by WxUSAF
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Well, a horrific year at his new house is like 200% of MD climo. He knows he will see snow several times. We have to assume that every time it snows here may be the last time ever.
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Lol Phin is like New England Ji now
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After a couple days of pattern breakdown at the end of the EPS, the end of today’s 12z run still looks pretty good. -AO/-NAO and a ridge just off the west coast. Broad CONUS trough east of the Rockies. Looks overrrunning like.
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Paul Roundy apparently saw this Nino-like period coming based on his MJO-based sub seasonal forecasting. He’s expecting a Nina-like pattern with a SE ridge for later in December, but has that evolving into a -NAO in January.
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As @Bob Chill always said (btw, he needs to get his ass in here), most of our events pop up under the D6 time frame. Rarely do we have a long tracking event that's picked out at D8-12. 13-14 winter was notorious for events that showed up around D4-5.
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31 and frosty
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Ugh...I was being nice and mowing the common space in the center of the culdesac. It has a sewer cover. Never had a problem before but I must have gone on just the wrong angle.
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I don’t either. Today however, my mower blade hit a manhole cover and broke the bracket holding the blade. So...will have to fix that before the spring.
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Speak for yourself Mr. 70 feet ASL
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I also did a final mow of my lawn and mowed it short. Those 0.1-0.3” events are gonna look NOICE on my lawn this winter.
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Looks good on these maps even though Maryland is like one pixel
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Thanks!
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There is some very confused species of cherry tree around me that is partially blooming right now
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Definitely some flurry chances Tuesday evening it looks like. West side of the high slopes could get something measurable with some luck perhaps.
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Dry tinder-like trees is why I cut mine fresh and wait until December to do it. Usually it’s alive through Christmas at least.
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I know for MBY, it started snowing in the late morning, but didn’t accumulate much until afternoon and evening. Stopped around 8-9pm I think.
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Some interesting similarities to that winter. Also a Nina. Had the decent early December snow and the then hardly anything for a long while. Had a late winter SSW that got us an early March snow/ice storm.
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CPC analogs for 12/8 almost identical to those 3 years ago for 12/8/17. That was our last notable December snowfall with 2-5” across the region.
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I tend to agree. I’m not sure how much of the responsibility is the whole team or just this one coach, but either way they had the biggest outbreak in the NFL so far.
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Lamar Jackson tested positive for covid 2020 strikes again
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It’s really fun. We enjoyed it.
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Canadian is a touch to slow so the marginal airmass we have after the cutter warms a bit. Need it a little faster. Either way, lots of chances probably and a complex pattern with a bunch of strong short waves.
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Could be the warmest day until our annual record warm Xmas eve
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Well I made a vaguely political joke on the in-law family text thread and apparently I've already ruined thanksgiving! Where's the wine?
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It's a really nice look. I don't know about the EPS at Day 15, but the GEPS and GEFS have an absolutely gorgeous pattern. Somehow the GEFS has normal/AN surface temps with that setup...which, no chance in hell. GEPS (which does seem to have some cold bias, I guess from being Canadian) has us BN or MBN which fits with that 500mb pattern.
