WxUSAF
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Everything posted by WxUSAF
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Normal temps and AN precip for January and February? I’d take that in a hot second. Of course the seasonal’s verification sucks.
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Something’s really funky with TT’s snow maps in the mid and long range.
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Agree except for the last few days when the temp has basically been stuck between 35-45. Boring. I need something below freezing.
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I haven’t looked yet myself, but from reading elsewhere it sounds like the overnight ensembles (GEFS and Eps) were more bullish on the mid week anfrontal wave.
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A few op runs have hinted at that. 0z euro and the last couple GGEM runs I think. Key would be a bit of wave spacing so the cold air can get here and then the wave can ride along the boundary.
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What's nice is that (at the moment at least), it doesn't look like this is a transient window. Yes, the first arctic high rotates out, but there appear to be more behind it and the background pattern looks to hang around through the following week at least.
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Webb is IN Maybe
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Do it!
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Always hilarious how fast models erode CAD. Euro goes from ice into Alabama to rain in Allentown, PA, in 18 hours. Ok, yeah, sure.
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Holy cow is the GEFS ever ripe D8-10. Confluence in New England from the TPV in Labrador, coupled PNA/EPO ridging out west and a gorgeous deep s/w moving through the southern plains. Precip panels look lovely.
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Ha, no idea. It’s all such small sample size statistics and then try and account for a warming climate and who TF knows? Not to mention how much random chance impacts our snowfall vs. places farther north.
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Speaking of overrunning, gorgeous setup in uber-fantasyland GFS that delivers a modest event, with another on the way at the end.
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Yeah, but the atmosphere is still behaving like one for now. Ride that train, Bob.
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It’s already started
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Actually, my windshield is all frozen over now. But did see about a dozen beautiful dendrites stuck to the roof of my car! More snow than I saw in December 2018...
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Got precip overnight but temps didn’t cooperate it looks like. Actually spiked while it was snowing or raining. Either way just wet now.
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Snowband maybe starting to develop on radar. A bit ahead of schedule if so.
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Well, seems we’ve got that locked in D10 snow/mix/rain storm all sorted.
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Happy birthday!
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Probably not surprising in the era of nondivergent ensembles, but the EPS looks reasonably close to the op euro at D10. GGEM actually looks quite similar too.
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Says Mrs “too good to measure anything under 1” “ who’s also getting more snow tonight
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DT’s final winter forecast is out. Clear lean toward cold and snowy.
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Potential is rapidly rising that I spend my entire conference time next week tracking... getting that euro storm delayed 12 hours would be perfect since I land at 1030pm that night.
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Euro still in for a dusting tonight north of DC. ALL IN
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@frd what of those dates were good? None jump to mind.
