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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. Two years ago Xmas eve had a low of 6 at BWI. BWI hasn’t had a high temp in the single digits in decades?
  2. Time for JB to start tweeting about how upper 30s are “still cold!” For Canada. In late December. Along Hudson Bay.
  3. lol GGEM near 0F Monday morning. GFS upper 10s/low 20s.
  4. Gfs and GGEM both took a small step back from overnight for Friday.
  5. After Friday-Saturday, there’s maybe a Hail Mary window right around Xmas. GGEM showed this last night. But otherwise, we’re shitting the blinds until first weekend in January I think. And agree with @psuhoffman that winter probably turns based on how much we cash in during January. I hold little hope for February and March this year given cool ENSO climo.
  6. Dang. Only icon gets it done, but overnight runs were a lot closer. On a different note, big disparity for post-Xmas torch potential. Euro/EPS seem to keep us wedged, so temps are AN but nothing I’d call a torch. Gfs suite doesn’t do that so we’d be popping some of those ridiculous +20F days potentially.
  7. Icon and GGEM both took a good step. Hard to imagine we get snow from the coastal, but I’m hoping we can get some snow from the primary before it loses its punch. Need some more south trends, but 12z moving that way.
  8. If the storm yesterday was 12 hours faster, most of the area gets 1-3/2-4”.
  9. Cold and dry-ish Niña periods are pretty normal historically. But yes, since BN periods are getting less frequent, it does hurt to let one go by without measurable snow to show for it. Even if it is December when we struggle to get much normally.
  10. I’m not greedy. Just want some festive snow on my Xmas lights. We’re going to have a BN December. That alone seems amazing. Would be nice to have more than a T of snow out of it.
  11. Friday snow chances are not dead btw. 6z EPS is a pretty decent look for D4-5 with an earlier transfer off hatteras. Euro AI also a better 6z run.
  12. Fog is really thickening up in Greenbelt. I’d say vis is 1/2mi at most.
  13. And it’s crazy that he’s got MVP competition
  14. Big cold high for CAD with WAA precip is definitely a positive bust potential setup
  15. Light rain and 38. Guess there’s a chance I get a brief flip with heavier returns but not holding my breath.
  16. Sleet and some snow grains in Columbia. Winter 24-25 won’t quit!
  17. No. The 25th time period was there for awhile with a second PNA spike. Just never shown much storm wise
  18. Don’t hate the setup on the GGEM leading into Xmas…
  19. Dr No’s music getting queued up
  20. Yeah gfs and GGEM both closer to something workable
  21. Can all the “drones” help us get snow!?!?!?? Maybe blow more cold air southwards???
  22. If you or anyone else want a thread for this, I’d say go for it. Only 48 hours out.
  23. Happy hour is fun but that has “last 48 hour heartbreak” written all over it. Would be nice if we could get a solution like the 12z euro from yesterday. Simple easy 3-6”. eta…gfs kinda leaves some energy along the front late Thursday and flips us to white rain. If that front wave can amp up more and also get more trailing energy, that could turn into something.
  24. Verbatim euro has a dusting to I95 Sunday evening. 1”+ for Frederick-Loudon and points west.
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