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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    @mappytown mesonet already down to 39! Going to make a run at first freeze.
  2. WxUSAF
    18z gfs track is west of 12z slightly but drier overall. Basically a hold.
  3. WxUSAF
    Lots of 30s at least. Hope MBY makes it
  4. WxUSAF
    It’s a tough forecast for your area still. Most confident parts are cloudy, cool, and breezy. Rain is possible anytime between Saturday afternoon (showers at most) to Monday (potentially steady moderate rain). Rain amounts are still a hard call for areas west of the Bay and DC especially.
  5. WxUSAF
    Euro moved back to what it had been doing, which is it retrogrades it back toward us and gives us a very rainy Monday. Widespread 1". Still a pretty different solution than GFS/GGEM/Icon, and it all comes down to where the northern stream shortwave phases in.
  6. WxUSAF
    Ukie takes it over toward Buffalo and it looks like the sloppy phase Euro that skips us mostly except for light showers Saturday.
  7. WxUSAF
    TT and Pivotal haven’t updated Canadian model output in days. But other places apparently have it. What gives?
  8. WxUSAF
    Someone can do a thread if people want that
  9. WxUSAF

    Winter 2025-26

    WxUSAF replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic

  10. WxUSAF
    Weirdly (?) euro AI keeps drifting east even as the traditional guidance is starting to line up with the details.
  11. WxUSAF
    If I was rich I’d totally get a mesonet station installed on my palatial estate. Somewhere between the pool and the botanical garden.
  12. WxUSAF
    Super cool. Thanks to @Eskimo Joeand @wxmeddler for inviting me! Nice consolation prize for being furloughed.
  13. WxUSAF
  14. WxUSAF
    Ooohhh jackpot! Up over 0.25”!
  15. WxUSAF
    What happened with GGEM? Planned outage?
  16. WxUSAF
    Going to be *maybe* 0.2”
  17. WxUSAF
    https://twitter.com/burgwx/status/1975729785394635218?s=46&t=JYOHM881b6groqc0-RqtxA
  18. WxUSAF
    Big jump on the euro suite
  19. WxUSAF
    Euro almost completely skunks Baltimore and a stripe of central MD to NoVA
  20. WxUSAF
    6z euro was close to the area. Much farther north than 0z. 12z gfs soaks the eastern parts of the area, but brutal gradient for DC and points west.
  21. WxUSAF
    Getting major “prepare for disappointment” vibes for tonight based on newest guidance
  22. WxUSAF
    Also might have a handful of model runs D5+ that impact us
  23. WxUSAF
    lol what a joke. I’ve tuned out his coach speak for 5+ years, but gimme a damn break. Who’s the audience for this nonsense?
  24. WxUSAF
    Meanwhile, GGEM shifted way east
  25. WxUSAF
    Maybe I just hadn’t noticed yet, but overnight runs jumped on this coastal low giving us rain this weekend. Looking back, 18z Saturday Euro AI was the first run to pull it west enough for rain in the metro areas, but overnight 0z runs are really the first showing rain on the physics-based models.
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