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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. 38/21 talk to you weenies when the thundersnow wakes me up
  2. Remember when @high risk, the guy who helps program them, told us that the hrrr and rap suck?
  3. Difference for MBY between 3k NAM and gfs is like 0.05” of precip?
  4. Snow starts in like 9-12 hours. Chips fall time.
  5. Think 4-5” is the most probably range for me. Maybe 3.5-5.5” for a wider distribution.
  6. Looking forward to snow on snow after the 6-8” I got Tuesday per the Hrrr/rap combo forecast
  7. Hoping the thunder and lightning wakes me up. Otherwise I’ll be up to measure between 530-630.
  8. I almost can’t believe we’re going to pull off another 11th hour max potential
  9. The juicing has begun. Love to see the 0.5”+ QPF numbers show up and expand, particularly when they’re over my house
  10. If the soundings look like the 3k NAM at 6-7z around DC, then I think 12:1 during that period is reasonable.
  11. 3k NAM soundings are more impressive vs 12z. Definitely would be big ol’ dendrites for a couple hours from 6-8z.
  12. 3k NAM soundings show strong lift in a saturated DGZ around 7z.
  13. Not sure 4-5” is my bar (yet?), but it’s definitely not out of the question.
  14. I figured the juicing trend would start at 0z tonight. Looks like we’re ahead of schedule.
  15. Low of 24. Arctic hounds of 2F below normal!!
  16. Not sure what it says about anything, but counting this upcoming event, 2 of the 3 most widespread accumulating snow events in our area in a strong Nino are nearly all northern stream lows and the 3rd had significant northern stream influence.
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