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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. Dez was just pulled off the field because he tested positive for covid what a mess
  2. Run the GEFS trend function on that timeframe for the last few days and watch the NAO ridge push in and lower heights along the east coast.
  3. Very interesting it’s sort of heading back to a nino like look again with Aleutian low and west coast ridging. Have to watch and see if that continues. Either way, it’s good we don’t get a black hole over AK it seems.
  4. CMC just has some weak ass GL low otherwise it’s a big snow to rain event. Pretty interesting 12z suite so far
  5. @CAPE calling for a white Christmas. I like it!
  6. Yup. Hence the “if” in my post Its a roll of the dice, but it’s one I’d take every time. Doubly so in this year when otherwise background forcing sucks.
  7. Early January would be a nice time for this if it happens and we see the pay off.
  8. Euro has it too. Hopefully I’m not in the flurry screwzone between Monday and Wednesday.
  9. First sub-40F high of the year IMBY
  10. Uber-long range, Paul Roundy keeps saying how his MJO analogs support Greenland blocking by late December and into January. Interestingly, that’s what the extended GEFS show...
  11. ^Icon leaves a lot of energy behind the main cutter and keeps the streams separate. That’s what we want for a frontal wave type deal. Gfs made a clear move toward that today, but not enough. ggem still has a CAD situation on the 16th.
  12. 2 GFS runs in a row have some very light rain/snow showers Wednesday morning
  13. 28F. No flurries that I can see, but some radar returns in western HoCo and northern MoCo right now.
  14. Can we just not do this please?
  15. Eh, doesn’t dump the TPV in AK, but has it consolidated north of the Yukon with a trough in AK and -PNA. Either way, another Xmas torch.
  16. Yup, have to see what ensembles say. We don’t want to see that.
  17. 12z GEFS looks a lot like this at this time.
  18. Yeah, it’s done respectably well. Seems to have lost the major cold bias as well. And more reasonably dispersive.
  19. Low heights in AK are never ideal, but the ridging on the west coast combined with a pretty good Atlantic side make that a nice look. There’s also a bigger piece of the TPV farther east. If that TPV was over AK...it would be suboptimal.
  20. Ah, the first moderation philosophy complaining. Definitely winter now.
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