WxUSAF
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Everything posted by WxUSAF
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I think very close to 60K at the end of the month.
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See my link above, but could be hard to tease out any effect in a short period. Most likely scenario might be GA stays on the same trend.
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Nate silver makes a good point that it’s probably going to hard to tease out impact of GA’s actions, at least for awhile.
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Lol more media requests to attend than actual protestors. @PhineasC‘s silent majority in action
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I think this is probably right more or less. Not sure how this is going to look. Going from straight no contact to hanging in a pool with 100 strangers is quite a leap, so there’s going to be some phase in. I think you could start nonessential businesses and restaurants probably around June 1 and see how it goes. But yeah, without sufficient testing, opening things 100% during the summer seems primed to make a second wave in fall.
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4-1+ is 80%+, Dr. Phin
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Saw an article today (NYTimes I think) saying the second leading indicator for COVID vulnerability after age is obesity. Lots of obese people in this country of all ages.
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This weather sucks
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I get “-200” when I try to add a picture. What’s that?
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Hard to exactly follow daily fatality numbers on the JHU website but looks like 3K+ so far?
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The point of flattening the curve is not to limit long term infections. It’s to prevent catastrophic collapse of the hospital and health system. Which would kill many people who otherwise wouldn’t die if infections are spread out.
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Exactly. We’ve always known the real infection rate is higher than we’ve measured, which pushes the fatality rate lower. From everything we know, the fatality rate is still much higher than flu. Its also always been apparent that you can’t shut down the economy until a vaccine is ready. You have to find the balance.
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It literally is a 9/11 per day. And even if you extrapolate that one data point to the whole country (which nobody should do), it’s way below herd immunity levels.
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^wow that’s a very important result.
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Wow, that’s a good data point to have.
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I agree with your post @supernovasky but don’t want to go there.
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We have a pink dogwood sapling that finally blossomed a little this year, but now all the blossoms drooped and the little leaves that were growing next to it are limp. WTH? We also planted 2 red twig dogwoods. One is happy, but one is struggling. Lots of leaves that are shriveled and limp. Anything I should try for either of these?
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https://www.hopkinsmedicine.org/health/conditions-and-diseases/coronavirus/what-coronavirus-does-to-the-lungs?amp=true
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In one breath you’re saying we don’t know enough to make actionable decisions and in the other we also know enough to open everything up and let nature take its course.
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Kill granny to save the stocks!
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Oh please dude. This virus is killing healthy people under 50 and giving permanent lung damage to many who recover. At much higher rates than flu, etc. Except it’s basically 2-3K COVID deaths per day? 9/11 was 3K. Stats on other deaths being way down?
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The “we are overreacting” crowd is just crazy. We’re on an easy path to at least 60K deaths. Sixty thousand! Probably more at this rate. Twenty 9/11s.
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There are millions of “easy victims” in our country alone.
