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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. 4” 48hr bullseye on 495 late this week per 12z euro
  2. About 0.25”. Well below guidance.
  3. Doesn’t seem like it! Friday’s event is on deck! What could go wrong about a late developing cutoff coastal low!?
  4. So far just missing forecast totals by an order of magnitude…
  5. Yeesh. Euro has a brutal gradient though Loudon/MoCo/HoCo/Baltimore.
  6. Yeah tonight still looks on track although I95 and points south look most favored. Bust from potential 1.5-2” is lack of storms yesterday and morning rain today.
  7. @high risk mesos like our backyards for the evening storms. Fingers crossed…
  8. Euro says drought’s over in the next 2 weeks!
  9. Think CWG posted today was the warmest ever for an April morning at 5 or 6am? 75?
  10. Yeah maybe didn’t even get 0.1”?
  11. No thunder yet but some decent wind gusts. Point for the hrrr…it saw this coming yesterday.
  12. 18z 3k NAM much closer to that than its own 12z run
  13. About 0.15”? It’s a start. I endorse the 13z hrrr…
  14. Got 0.01” last night! Probably need another 0.99” to be safe
  15. Ok, really need some rain tomorrow and Friday because my son’s high school baseball team is out of pitchers and has a game against the best team in the county Friday afternoon
  16. Coolest looking stratus clouds I’ve seen in awhile. Undulations, waves, and color changes.
  17. Wide range of options on 12z mesos. I vote FV3.
  18. Car is yellow this morning. Should be black. Tis the season.
  19. 18z hrrr and NAM 3k look good for rain and thunder at least, which is all I care about
  20. In March, I normally always bet on the wedge vs warm air. But already some blue sky IMBY, so maybe today is the exception to the rule.
  21. That’s what guidance says
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