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WxUSAF

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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    BWI: 10.3” IAD: 12.7” DCA: 6.5” RIC: 9.8” SBY: 8.5”
  2. WxUSAF
    This doesn’t look horrible. Usually CPC is just an ENSO copy-paste.
  3. WxUSAF
    This strong phase 2 wave helps that short cool-ish period near the start of December. If it goes into the COD after phase 2 without propagating into phase 3-4, that would help keep things less torchy.
  4. WxUSAF
    My cat observed the process from within 6 feet
  5. WxUSAF
    You can wire me $7M by Friday at 5pm for a hand recount. And no, you can’t just have a recount for DCA.
  6. WxUSAF
    Congrats to @MN Transplant! He won with a total departure of 19 days. I hadn't noticed when I looked a few days ago, but @snowfan was actually really close, coming in 2nd place with a departure of 20 days. @GATECH was 3rd with 24 days. For 4 locations and 38 participants, only @GATECH got one (DCA) exactly right. 2020 First Freeze Contest.xlsx
  7. WxUSAF
    Wow, nice! I saw PWSs around DCA were 30-32F by 10pm last night so I wondered if it would be able to get there.
  8. WxUSAF
    Low of 26. Frosty out. Kudos to the GGEM on this morning. It was consistently much colder then the US or Euro guidance and that verified.
  9. WxUSAF
    About time we get one of those for a change. 30F here. How low will it go?
  10. WxUSAF
    BWI hit freezing at the top of the hour
  11. WxUSAF
    Down to the low temp from this morning
  12. WxUSAF
    5 nearest PWSs on wunderground: 28, 31, 32, 35, 35
  13. WxUSAF
    Ha. Still screws us
  14. WxUSAF
    Running 5F colder here than this time yesterday
  15. WxUSAF
    End of month/early December cold shot is back on the models today. Gfs is most impressive while the other guidance is more tepid, but still shows something.
  16. WxUSAF
    My neighbor videoed the flurries last night and posted it on FB so it counts! Two traces of snow already! Big winter inbound!
  17. WxUSAF
    Nope, only 33 at BWI
  18. WxUSAF
    RIC down to 29!
  19. WxUSAF
    Got to 32 briefly. BWI going to need an interhour if it got there.
  20. WxUSAF
    Under 40F now.
  21. WxUSAF
    These are tough. I think I’d also go with Xmas. Haven’t ever experienced that in Maryland. As for the first question, it’s basically a super 13-14 winter vs super 15-16. Think I’d go with 13-14.
  22. WxUSAF
    46F and blustery after a high of 55
  23. WxUSAF
    The Scandinavian-Greenland ridge pattern this fall and progged going forward is nice. Maybe we can hope for some occasional NAO help? If we can couple it with transient Pac ridging we could get some windows.
  24. WxUSAF
    Yeah, GEFS surface temps are warm for December but the 500mb pattern looks halfway decent for most of it?
  25. WxUSAF
    Usually they do down well, but the timing can be a bit variable and the QBO as a whole has been a little funky the last 4 years for whatever reason (climate or other).
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