I wouldn’t give up on the NYE event yet. All 3 globals showed a much better high in advance of it today. Just need a piece of it to break off and come east.
Some hints of a CAD situation though... If we could get some energy to run out ahead or get some overrunning ahead of that warm front, that could be a way to get some frozen precip.
Crappy Pac pattern.
I haven’t seen the euro, but GFS, NAM, GGEM, and RGEM all have a narrow band of snow south of DC through southern MD on Xmas. Where it falls is slightly different for each of them, but someone may get a surprise dusting-1” Friday.