WxUSAF
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Everything posted by WxUSAF
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If this pattern evolves as advertised and most of us get, let’s say <1” of snow, by January 25, that would be phenomenally bad luck even by our standards.
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Gonna be shoveling by then! Maybe a few times!
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Euro’s pretty close for the 11th. Light snow for far SW VA.
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Ukie and GGEM have been competing for 2nd. More like GFS competes with the JMA for 4th...
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Because it’s basically a cutoff low. No northern stream involvement like the GGEM, so it’s just a bowling ball rolling across. This also means no CCB development so a very anemic precip shield.
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But by the metrics it’s been kicking the GFS’ ass since it was upgraded last year.
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GFS back to a dogsh-t airmass ahead of Jan 8. Losing that Canadian HP it’s showed yesterday.
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I’m pretty much right there with you. I’d love a 2-3 week cold period with several modest snowfalls. Yes a KU would be amazing, but my bar is far lower.
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Believe I saw every month is warmer than the previous 30 years except November, which got slightly cooler.
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Yeah, I get that people are impatient. I am too! I'm still not very bullish on the Jan 8 threat, but I think this period coming up is perhaps the best long wave pattern we've had in years? Still think odds for a KU are higher or much higher than normal. Although that certainly doesn't mean one is a lock.
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Lol look at how much ridging out west. I still think this event has more chance for heartbreak then glory, but I think we’re going to be busy next week and beyond.
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That is not a fondly remembered event here
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@tombo82685 with a great thread on Twitter
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Hey, I’ll make this blunt. Stop with the covid conspiracy crap or you’re gonna get 5 posts per day.
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Debated not drinking for a few days. Then kids started yelling and arguing. Cheers!
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Woof? Woof
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That’s very nice to see. @Wentzadelphia posted EPS snow mean through like D13 elsewhere and it was very respectable.
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Co-sign. I’m pretty bored today. Can’t go outside. Not very interested in these bowl games.
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It is, but I’ve also noticed there’s been more spacing between the wave and the western ridging. That PAC trough pulling back also pulls the ridging west.
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GEFS made a big jump south for the 8th. Para-GFS is strong and wound up however. Lots of options. I still think anything before late in the second week of January is gravy. But odds for gravy have definitely gone up.
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There’s that suppression I was looking for!
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Maybe had a few sleet pellets per my son who was outside playing. Otherwise 35F rain.
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Let’s just say this. Anti-government employee rants are not going to go over well and won’t be tolerated on a website where many of our most valued posters are government employees. So anyone who doesn’t like that can feel free to leave.
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That northern stream energy late Tuesday is worth watching. Could be dusting-1” type deal for colder spots.
