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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. Yeah, that’s not the matchup I wanted. Really wanted the Steelers.
  2. Yeah he’s very fun to watch. Washing that OSU grime off real quick
  3. I can’t see this as a HECS setup so I was pretty shocked by that analog list. GEFS still quite a bit of spread and mostly south.
  4. Some eye popping analogs to the 12z gfs. But lots of uncertainty still.
  5. Translation, favorable MJO phases for us
  6. And euro has a clipper thing incoming at D10. Think we have a really fun period upcoming and it’s starting a week earlier than I expected.
  7. Kiss of death. Partly cloudy and 40F next Tuesday.
  8. 3-5” deal verbatim. Lots of room there for a bigger outcome IMO. Euro nearly phases the shortwaves but then just kind of shears it out. A little odd. Glad something still showed that storm window after the rest of the 12z suite mostly made a list out of me.
  9. Yeah, I like that panel a lot. Phasing in the northern stream low. Cold air mass in place.
  10. Euro came NW relative to 0z. Still not much northern stream interaction. That’s what pulls the low north and expands the precip field for runs like the para-gfs.
  11. Marquise Brown has to catch the damn ball
  12. Yeah I said I liked the 12th and then more of the 12z guidance shears it out. Lots of options coming up and feeling pretty good that we get one and probably multiple events.
  13. Passing along from @mitchnick that the Ukie is a solid hit for Friday. Especially n/w.
  14. Lol @Ji GFS rule at 360hrs. Arctic air ahead of a storm and still rains on us.
  15. 7” for me and flurries for @mappy. Seems legit
  16. GGEM ticked south from 0z but still snows on VA. I’m getting fairly interested in the 11/12th period.
  17. It’s important to remember that all this awesome pattern we’re shoveling through at least the 20th and more likely the 25-30th has absolutely nothing to do with the SSW. Impacts from the SSW are only after then, if we see any at all (which I think we do).
  18. With JB and Judah on our side, how can we lose?
  19. Lol I kind of agree with you. It’s pretty amazing the convoluted things it cooks up to give us rain. Luckily it will be wrong.
  20. If this pattern evolves as advertised and most of us get, let’s say <1” of snow, by January 25, that would be phenomenally bad luck even by our standards.
  21. Gonna be shoveling by then! Maybe a few times!
  22. Euro’s pretty close for the 11th. Light snow for far SW VA.
  23. Ukie and GGEM have been competing for 2nd. More like GFS competes with the JMA for 4th...
  24. Because it’s basically a cutoff low. No northern stream involvement like the GGEM, so it’s just a bowling ball rolling across. This also means no CCB development so a very anemic precip shield.
  25. But by the metrics it’s been kicking the GFS’ ass since it was upgraded last year.
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