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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    28F. No flurries that I can see, but some radar returns in western HoCo and northern MoCo right now.
  2. WxUSAF
    Can we just not do this please?
  3. WxUSAF
    Put the snowboard out to will this thing north
  4. WxUSAF
    Now would be a good time for that north trend please
  5. WxUSAF
    Eh, doesn’t dump the TPV in AK, but has it consolidated north of the Yukon with a trough in AK and -PNA. Either way, another Xmas torch.
  6. WxUSAF
    Yup, have to see what ensembles say. We don’t want to see that.
  7. WxUSAF
    12z GEFS looks a lot like this at this time.
  8. WxUSAF
    Yeah, it’s done respectably well. Seems to have lost the major cold bias as well. And more reasonably dispersive.
  9. WxUSAF
    Low heights in AK are never ideal, but the ridging on the west coast combined with a pretty good Atlantic side make that a nice look. There’s also a bigger piece of the TPV farther east. If that TPV was over AK...it would be suboptimal.
  10. WxUSAF
    Yes, GEFS uses the FV3 dynamical core now.
  11. WxUSAF
    Ah, the first moderation philosophy complaining. Definitely winter now.
  12. WxUSAF
    There’s a lot to like on the D10 EPS. 50/50, -east NAO, weak +PNA, and cold air. That period next week is definitely one to watch.
  13. WxUSAF
    And there are model hints that we have a weak strat PV going into January and SSW chances.
  14. WxUSAF
    Euro euro euro!!!
  15. WxUSAF
    If you want a political conversation please take it elsewhere instead of this annoying cryptic hinting and beating around the bush.
  16. WxUSAF
    It’s the end of an op run, but the 12z gfs shows the sort of evolution we want to see. Cutter brings down an arctic airmass behind it and an active pattern provides a series of strong short waves moving into that cold air. That cutter also acts as a 50/50 low to reinforce the cold. Then hopefully we get a nice snow event before our annual 70F Christmas Eve when the pac puke arrives with Santa.
  17. WxUSAF
    Ouch. Sorry dude. Can’t imagine going through that. Best wishes.
  18. WxUSAF
    I guess we’re using DTs thread for Monday, so we can keep this for anything past that.
  19. WxUSAF
    And posts that aren’t about how it’s all falling apart!
  20. WxUSAF
    ^important differences between those HH euro and GFS runs. Euro slower with the shortwave and more separation between it and the weaker kicker in central Canada. Get tomorrow’s storm near where the gfs has it and game on...
  21. WxUSAF
    Faster motion for this perfect track rainstorm gets it out of the way a bit and allows this Monday possibility room to amplify and maybe turn the corner a bit. 2013-14 storms show up under D5 rule in effect?
  22. WxUSAF
    Does it go past 90hrs? That looks pretty damn nice for a small-moderate event.
  23. WxUSAF
    Don’t tease!
  24. WxUSAF
    Yeah it’s close. Signs were there for a possibility and today’s runs moved in the right direction. Fingers crossed it keeps going that way.
  25. WxUSAF
    F that noise. ALL IN
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