WxUSAF
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Everything posted by WxUSAF
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Good, because the GFS is loony in the other way. Just a bizarre evolution.
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Wow, @CAPE and @psuhoffman both going for a white Xmas. Getting excited!
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Ukie was most similar at 500
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Lol not sure what the analog is for this QBO pattern
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@mappy flizzard incoming?
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Pro tip: take a hot shower so it partially fogs up your bedroom window and then it sort of looks like it’s snowing before you put on your glasses.
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28F for the low
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Seems likely the AO will be negative on average for December. First winter month with that in awhile.
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Probably. But they continue to have zero pass rush and poor red zone efficiency.
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About time. I’ll take it. Great play by Queen.
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So many stupid mistakes
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Dez was just pulled off the field because he tested positive for covid what a mess
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Run the GEFS trend function on that timeframe for the last few days and watch the NAO ridge push in and lower heights along the east coast.
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Very interesting it’s sort of heading back to a nino like look again with Aleutian low and west coast ridging. Have to watch and see if that continues. Either way, it’s good we don’t get a black hole over AK it seems.
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CMC just has some weak ass GL low otherwise it’s a big snow to rain event. Pretty interesting 12z suite so far
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@CAPE calling for a white Christmas. I like it!
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Yup. Hence the “if” in my post Its a roll of the dice, but it’s one I’d take every time. Doubly so in this year when otherwise background forcing sucks.
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Early January would be a nice time for this if it happens and we see the pay off.
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GOOD CHANCE OF 1ST LIGHT SNOW EVENT VA / nw NC/ MD DEL MONDAY DEC 7
WxUSAF replied to DTWXRISK's topic in Mid Atlantic
That’s what I had in the contest! SBY too. -
WTF!!! WTF!!!!
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Euro has it too. Hopefully I’m not in the flurry screwzone between Monday and Wednesday.
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First sub-40F high of the year IMBY
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Uber-long range, Paul Roundy keeps saying how his MJO analogs support Greenland blocking by late December and into January. Interestingly, that’s what the extended GEFS show...
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^Icon leaves a lot of energy behind the main cutter and keeps the streams separate. That’s what we want for a frontal wave type deal. Gfs made a clear move toward that today, but not enough. ggem still has a CAD situation on the 16th.
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2 GFS runs in a row have some very light rain/snow showers Wednesday morning
