WxUSAF
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Let’s just keep this looking like this for another 60-72 hrs and then hope we get our usual CAD pregame help.
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That cold high is why it’s as much frozen as it is. Still too much OH valley low and the 850 low tracks over us or even a bit north of us. That’s not a recipe for 100% snow. Need to kill that thing sooner. But that’s the trend today so far for the gfs and GEFS at least. Hope Eps follows.
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Yeah as always. I know I’m not going to lay money on the cities and close in burbs being all snow for this event, if it happens. But a lot of things to like for some snow for many of us.
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I’ll take it. Low actually tracks a bit inland but that cold high keeps areas N/W of 95 frozen. Plus the model trend is faster handoff to the coastal. Crushed
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Euros a hit. Similar to 0z but a bit colder. @psuhoffman not fringed
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Ukie has a lakes low and ggem is flat and sheared, so still a wide range of possibilities.
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Yup. Surface and 500 evolution made a big step. Much more toward favoring a coastal low vs even 6z which showed a primary in the lakes. Confluence to the northeast better as well.
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Not bad. Snow on snow.
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You’ll be happy this year! No cheapie snow days! No snow days at all even!
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This. Maybe it’s a snow-rain-snow deal, but I have a hard time seeing this start as rain with a strong high in prime place for CAD. Not worth sweating these details yet. It’s a nice evolution.
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Icon is warm for Monday. Gfs remains south, but getting closer each run lately. Has rain up to southern MD. Boundary layer is warm but 850s below freezing. Surface dew point would suggest we could wet bulb down to near freezing in DC/Baltimore if we had precip.
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Just saw that and the next panel. Oooohhh baby.
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Important to remember that the Monday and Wednesday/Thursday storm are going to be linked. Have to see how Monday goes and how it preconditions the atmosphere. Definitely agree that Monday is a needle threader.
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Nice to see that for the Monday window. Definitely not dead.
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Soooo close. Not fun to look at, but take that at this range. Even has some snow in NC/VA before somehow the cold air disappears. I’d be happy with snow to rain even given it’s December. Just want to get on the board and hopefully take advantage of this blocking that’s developing.
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Festive!
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Wow, thanks for checking in Deb
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Eps and GEFS have -3SD AO next week. That alone is a snow signal. Fingers crossed we can take advantage of a good long wave pattern.
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Thankfully still got 7 minutes left in the first quarter.
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Summarizing the Eps snow maps for the midweek storm next week: 3 ggem like monsters, 5-6 modest events. A few suppressed solutions which I don’t mind at D7. More chances interior unsurprisingly. Looking at MSLP, can’t tell if the Miller B look is from 2 camps (one cutter and one coastal) or if these are doublebarreled lows which would scorch our BL temps.
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Lol it’s a Miller B signal. Congrats Bahstan. Maybe there are some nice hits in the individual members, not sure.
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Details or pics?
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Flurries in Columbia!
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That’s just seasoning. It’s the maple syrup on the Canadian pants tent.
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979mb east of OCMD Canadian pants tent
