I wouldn’t pay much attention to the AI models for mesoscale features. But synoptic scale? Euro AI is a cheat code inside D4-5. GFSAI outperforming physics-based GFS as well
Another snow event of playing “how disappointing will it be when I first look out my window in the morning”? I’m basically the New York Jets of that game.
It isn’t really the surface temps that are the problem on the NAM. 33-35 is ok at night with decent rates. But there’s a really annoying warm nose at 950mb.