WxUSAF
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Everything posted by WxUSAF
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@psuhoffman I know you said yesterday the outcomes for Monday and Wednesday seemed unrelated. But seeing guidance move in lockstep for both storms today has me wondering...
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For sure. All guidance, pending EPS, went that same way today and a good direction for us. Better than the alternative.
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That deform band would be cold smoke. 12:1 type stuff
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Probably should sharpen your knives then
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So hawt. Suffering through some rain and sleet is worth it for that deform deathband. Wind driven powder. I'd wager there are going to be some exciting EPS members.
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Yeah, but it's a lot closer than 0z. Takes the 850 low right overhead. Definitely less OH valley signature this run. I'd actually wager it would have stayed all snow at DC this run except the surface low track is just onshore in VA.
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Snowing at 126... Heavy snow in I-81 corridor
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I don't hate it so far, that's for sure
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Strong and warm. High pressure out west definitely jumped west at 78hrs, which is nice to see.
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Yeah, I hear you. That evening band was pretty strange. Developed in the NoVA burbs and slowly moved east. I remember watching it on my phone and thinking it wouldn't make it to MBY. Then it arrived and just dumped pure fluff dendrites for a few hours. A 6"+ difference between BWI and me is pretty weird, so that shows how close I was to the edge.
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The entire rest of the GFS run had potential. But bird in hand and all.
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Drinking is in all the stages.
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We go through the stages of grief until by Tuesday we convince ourselves that 0.2" of slush that gets washed away is all we really ever expected and wanted.
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I had over 11". That evening band stopped just a few miles east of me.
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Think that's a fairly big adjustment on the crazy uncle?
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Jan 2019 verified WSW for a good chunk of the area
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GFS gets snow in at like 118hrs. That's Day 4 sucka.
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Euro coming in to join the party!
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NSFW
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???? Looking good to me
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GGEM incoming
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Yup, all part of the same process. We don't want the HP outrunning the low. Want the HP on top of the LP like a hat. Maybe a bit ahead of the LP.
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GFS evolution is just textbook for a Mid-Atlantic snowstorm. Gorgeous. Look at how it's trended with the cold push out WEST over the Plains. Follow the 522 or 528 height lines in this gif. That push keeps the primary low from amplifying to our west. It can't get north, so it stays weak until it transfers energy to the coast. THIS IS WHAT WE WANT. This is nearly as important as having cold air in place east of the mountains.
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Every model run is basically this
