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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    Para is a nice hit for everyone.
  2. WxUSAF
    Yeah, I mean, I don't really buy those boundary layer temps on the GFS. But seriously, WTF? It's not coming up with those by magic.
  3. WxUSAF
    If this: And this: Produce rain in the deformation band of a coastal low on January 28th??? Something is seriously, seriously wrong.
  4. WxUSAF
    Famous last words, but I feel like the forecast, for my yard at least, is fairly stable. Couple-few hours of decent snow Monday evening, then some sleet, probably ended by quite a long time of light rain with temps between 30-34.
  5. WxUSAF
    6z IBM looks good
  6. WxUSAF
    I know it used to do that for the 6z and 18z runs. Thats why back in the day, the 6z and 18z runs could burp out some real outlier solutions. But I thought that changed long ago. @high risk?
  7. WxUSAF
    ^stronger and more consolidated shortwave. Can’t think that’s bad.
  8. WxUSAF
    Thanks for the cold, bottom of the pot, cup of coffee friend!
  9. WxUSAF
    Euro is nice to wake up to!!
  10. WxUSAF
    Temps rose near midnight to 36 and only fell to 30. God we suck.
  11. WxUSAF
    0z GFS colder and snowier, particularly for north of DC
  12. WxUSAF
    lol gonna be like 33 IMBY at midnight
  13. WxUSAF
    Yes, light fzra accumulates better and the colder the better. When we had crippling ice events in ‘94, temps were in the 10s and low 20s with fzra. But cold temps this weekend will help make surfaces cold.
  14. WxUSAF
    Do we get a sub-freezing day tomorrow? I assume DCA and BWI have no chance, but maybe IAD and many of the burbs?
  15. WxUSAF
    Look at that 500mb pattern! It’s pretty damn good!
  16. WxUSAF
    I think the bleeding has stopped with this 12z suite. Hopefully our thermal profiles can edge a bit better, but hopefully we’ve already seen the high water mark for the warmer air.
  17. WxUSAF
    Don’t forget latitude!
  18. WxUSAF
    Gimme that entire GGEM run...wow, weenie run of the year.
  19. WxUSAF
    Bump for the 3rd storm the GGEM gives us this run!!
  20. WxUSAF
    It's like 4-6" north of DC. HoCo bullseye
  21. WxUSAF
    Time for this bad boy again
  22. WxUSAF
    Oh wow, and it stays snow...nice hit for MD.
  23. WxUSAF
    GGEM also colder to start. Snow north of DC Monday afternoon.
  24. WxUSAF
    #rightwherewewantit #northtrend
  25. WxUSAF
    Thermals are better. I think the farther NW surface low actually helps that by providing a little more room for the high pressure and confluence to push in and keep us colder with the WAA precip. But then GFS keeps that primary low going much longer than previously, which is not helpful.
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