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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. GGEM surface low looks north of its 0z run, but less precipitation. Still a 3-6” event forum wide.
  2. Low of 22 at BWI. Bone chilling 2F below normal.
  3. There’s definitely some of that. And for snow events, we obviously notice it. Doesn’t cover why Great Lakes ice is at a record low, why the whole planet is warm, etc.
  4. NAM is still at range really. Precip starts in about 40-45 hours. I’d like to see those thermals hold or cool a bit, but 2-3” with some crust works for me. I’d also take the 5.5” the 12z euro gave me.
  5. NAM/euro blend works for me. Let’s do this.
  6. Well, maybe a pumice rock. Down to 26.
  7. Midnight high of 36. Daytime high 34. Down to 28 now.
  8. Yup, GGEM and Euro are way better with thermal profiles in general. Got to favor them and then add in 3k NAM tomorrow.
  9. Yeah, hopefully meeting in the middle with a widespread moderate snow event.
  10. You can snow chase to my yard Monday night to get your snow fix if you need!
  11. Pivotal snow map literally bullseyes my yard. Lock that sh-t UP.
  12. Hopefully we can meet in the middle of where the GFS and Euro were yesterday, which gives the whole area a respectable all-snow event.
  13. GGEM still with a snowier start for DC and points north.
  14. Weird things happen. We're not done with snow. But damn its ABUNDANTLY clear it's harder to get it around here. There's no cold air anywhere!!
  15. Yeah, I mean, I don't really buy those boundary layer temps on the GFS. But seriously, WTF? It's not coming up with those by magic.
  16. If this: And this: Produce rain in the deformation band of a coastal low on January 28th??? Something is seriously, seriously wrong.
  17. Famous last words, but I feel like the forecast, for my yard at least, is fairly stable. Couple-few hours of decent snow Monday evening, then some sleet, probably ended by quite a long time of light rain with temps between 30-34.
  18. I know it used to do that for the 6z and 18z runs. Thats why back in the day, the 6z and 18z runs could burp out some real outlier solutions. But I thought that changed long ago. @high risk?
  19. ^stronger and more consolidated shortwave. Can’t think that’s bad.
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