There’s definitely some of that. And for snow events, we obviously notice it.
Doesn’t cover why Great Lakes ice is at a record low, why the whole planet is warm, etc.
NAM is still at range really. Precip starts in about 40-45 hours. I’d like to see those thermals hold or cool a bit, but 2-3” with some crust works for me. I’d also take the 5.5” the 12z euro gave me.