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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    I think it will, just agonizing to wait. Radar looks awesome for you right now. Enjoy man. I'd take what the Euro's selling, damn. That's a big jump from previous runs for MBY. I'm skeptical. I'd love 2". Get me to 6" storm total.
  2. WxUSAF
    CC mix line is collapsing quickly to the southeast. Just need some friggin precipitation please for chrissakes.
  3. WxUSAF
    Snow to our southwest, northwest, and northeast. Mist here.
  4. WxUSAF
    Conditions so far unchanged here in the land of endless mist
  5. WxUSAF
    God, it's annoying. I'd take sleet! No more tiny little droplets of precipitation! Either way, radar seems WAY more spotty than any model predicted for 18z today.
  6. WxUSAF
    Can really notice the precip bands starting to pivot now and rotating counterclockwise.
  7. WxUSAF
    Argh, refuses to do anything but FZDZ here. Let's go already!
  8. WxUSAF
    Still mostly -FZRADZ with only a few pellets.
  9. WxUSAF
    SPC mesoanalyis now has the 850 0C line from southern end of 495 to Annapolis and then up the east side of the Bay toward Elkton. Big jump in the last few minutes, not sure what it saw to indicate that. But we're obviously getting colder aloft with people N/W switching to snow. Hopefully I do too soon...
  10. WxUSAF
    -FZRAPL as the heavier radar echoes move overhead. 30F.
  11. WxUSAF
    I think we should wait until the storm is finally done before analyzing guidance performance. Guidance typically struggles more in Ninas than in Ninos. Miller B's are also notoriously more difficult. From the point of view of sensible weather (snowfall) that we all care about, the GFS bros did do quite well if you look back over the last week. They were consistently showing snow maxes to our north. Now whether that was "right for the wrong reason" or not, that's worth a deeper look later this week.
  12. WxUSAF
    We're not going to go down this path again. But this is not an accurate statement.
  13. WxUSAF
    oooo...that's encouraging. Suggests that heavier precip can punch through that warm layer and/or cool it down.
  14. WxUSAF
    FWIW, SPC Mesoanalysis showing the 850mb warm air pocket is not that big. Less expansive and cooler than even the 6z 3k NAM had at this time. Hopefully we can flip back to snow soon as precip redevelops.
  15. WxUSAF
    P.S. 6z GFS looks pretty similar.
  16. WxUSAF
    Looked like 2-4” for our areas and points north. Maybe 6”+ for M/D line and into PA. Not the GFS, but I’ll take it. Most of it falls today, not much overnight into Tuesday.
  17. WxUSAF
    3.9” final measurement of the night. Snow has basically stopped. Maybe a -SNFZDZ situation now. We’ll see what happens tomorrow!
  18. WxUSAF
    Radar has me in the dryslot but I still have sand falling like all day
  19. WxUSAF
  20. WxUSAF
    Yes. Sign of a strengthening storm
  21. WxUSAF
    BWI with 3.4” officially at 7pm
  22. WxUSAF
    Sure are, good catch. Fits with the radar filling in over MD
  23. WxUSAF
    I measured 3.4” at top of the hour. Decent quality flakes right now
  24. WxUSAF
    Don’t tease
  25. WxUSAF
    Better ratios than I thought. 3.4” now for me at the second snowboard cleaning. Biggest event of the winter
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