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WxUSAF

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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    Stole this idea from HM, who posted it elsewhere focused on Philly, but you can see from this GFS cross-section that we should have better snowflake and dendrite formation then the sand we had a week ago from WAA snows.
  2. WxUSAF
    My memory was that BWI didn't get in the teens at all last winter, but I see they reported 1 19F reading per DJF month last winter. Nothing in the teens this winter.
  3. WxUSAF
    FWIW, it seems the seasonal trend is for Euro to be south of the majority of the guidance in the mid-range this winter with our events. Then there's been a bit of a meeting in the middle by gametime. We'll see what happens this time, but I'd personally much rather see a EZF jackpot at this point than a Harrisburg jackpot.
  4. WxUSAF
    21. Still hasn’t been in the teens this winter.
  5. WxUSAF
  6. WxUSAF
    Somehow I feel like my low temp tonight isn’t going to be 16.
  7. WxUSAF
    Evans tripped him!! Wasn’t intentional, but he tripped up the chiefs DB.
  8. WxUSAF
    lol the fix is in. These penalty calls...
  9. WxUSAF
    Definitely looks active. I’m still a bit worried the boundary ends up too close to us for all snow, but we’ll see. With the storms we’ve had so far this winter, there hasn’t been the “inevitable north trend in the last 24-48 hours” we typically assume. Not sure if that’s random chance or models getting better or something else. I’d still like to leave room for a bump north at the end though, especially in this situation. Snow hasn’t been easy this winter, so I’m trying to stay patient...
  10. WxUSAF
  11. WxUSAF
    Eh, I don’t take Canadian.
  12. WxUSAF
    Since I’m reasonable, I’ll take the remaining 9.5” of my promised 10” later this week with a reasonable 25% daily compounded interest rate.
  13. WxUSAF
    Yeah, somewhat. It’s been a stressful climb to about 11” seasonal total lol. Hopefully Wednesday to Friday works out.
  14. WxUSAF
    DCA topped BWI. I figured the 95 corridor was in a good spot for this one. But the dynamically forced band ended up over southern MD and the eastern shore and the colder temps plus mesoscale banding helped the N/W crowd. So 95 got stuck in the dead zone. Not cold enough to accumulate lighter precip and not sufficient dynamics to generate good rates to overcome ~34F temps.
  15. WxUSAF
    Wow, and euro not far off a GFS-like solution for next Sunday too.
  16. WxUSAF
    Hot damn, lock that up right the hell now. 36hrs, all snow north of DC.
  17. WxUSAF
    Ok, enough boys and girls
  18. WxUSAF
    2/7: 0.5" Total: 10.8"
  19. WxUSAF
    lol bet I’m near 1:1 ratios
  20. WxUSAF
    After today, I’m at nearly 11” for the season. That’s not bad for early February! But it hasn’t come easy and could certainly imagine being near 18” with some not crazy luck. But such is life.
  21. WxUSAF
    Drive up 108 to where I am for my sons appointment right now. This is basically a long walk from where we live. Well, to quote Belichek today, “We’re onto (Cincinnati) Thursday”
  22. WxUSAF
    lol crazy. Had rain mixing IMBY. Drove about 3mi away up near Howard High with about 200ft elevation on me and it’s heavy snow and they probably have close to 2” OTG.
  23. WxUSAF
    I keep thinking that last band will move through and nope...
  24. WxUSAF
    This ones not happening for eastern HoCo and Baltimore city. Just stuck between meso bands to our east and west. Frustrating. If it was colder we probably still would have added up 3” or so. But going to end with 0.5” unless this last hour or two drastically changes.
  25. WxUSAF
    Hopefully. Nothing happening right now.
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