WxUSAF
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Everything posted by WxUSAF
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Northern stream doesn’t phase so it moves into the lakes and shears the southern stream while also ruining the BL. But it definitely moved toward a larger storm event.
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I think we can. Also can miss both. GGEM and para gfs both miss Friday. Para is still sheared for next week, but got a bit more organized. GGEM also took a big step toward a storm next week. Have to see how that run finishes. Lots of shortwaves flying around. Some can help and some can hurt. But we have chances.
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It’s a classic MECS. Despite the gfs having a hard time realizing its January.
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New England vort is out of the way more. But Plains shortwave is faster and stronger and the storms closed low is weaker. Feels like a damned if you do damned if you don’t situation.
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Yeah, from my quick glance around, EPS definitely moved toward us. And the 11/12th event looked pretty good on some guidance
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Lol Texans blow it
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Wow, Texans tie it back up and probably going to OT
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A handful of days ago there was literally NOTHING on the models through D15. Now we’re getting some, but still ending up with lots of near misses or disjointed outcomes. Think we’ll see some monster digital snow occasionally at least starting this week. EPS had several big dogs.
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There’s a 1028mb high literally on top of us with sub 534 thicknesses leading into it. On January 12th.
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I’ll take that outcome for the 12th. GFS magically runs out of cold air, but I don’t buy that. Looks a lot like euro.
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That shortwave in Quebec just suppresses the flow. It’s moved about 300 miles south over the last 3 runs.
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I think you'd see s/w ridges move east behind troughs. And those ridges would get into the canonical position over Boise. It's a fabulous look.
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Ugh, I dunno. They can't seem to hold Derrick Henry for 4 quarters.
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Go Texans! If Colts win (which they absolutely should) and Titans lose, then Ravens are @ Colts.
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Not sure I could draw up a better long wave pattern for big snow storms for us.
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Yeah, that’s not the matchup I wanted. Really wanted the Steelers.
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Yeah he’s very fun to watch. Washing that OSU grime off real quick
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I can’t see this as a HECS setup so I was pretty shocked by that analog list. GEFS still quite a bit of spread and mostly south.
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Some eye popping analogs to the 12z gfs. But lots of uncertainty still.
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Translation, favorable MJO phases for us
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And euro has a clipper thing incoming at D10. Think we have a really fun period upcoming and it’s starting a week earlier than I expected.
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Kiss of death. Partly cloudy and 40F next Tuesday.
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3-5” deal verbatim. Lots of room there for a bigger outcome IMO. Euro nearly phases the shortwaves but then just kind of shears it out. A little odd. Glad something still showed that storm window after the rest of the 12z suite mostly made a list out of me.
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Yeah, I like that panel a lot. Phasing in the northern stream low. Cold air mass in place.
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Euro came NW relative to 0z. Still not much northern stream interaction. That’s what pulls the low north and expands the precip field for runs like the para-gfs.
