WxUSAF
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Everything posted by WxUSAF
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Happy hour gfs still with the big left turn
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Euro takes what’s left of Debby over Annapolis as a 999mb low early Saturday.
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Depending on the track, I could envision how the metro area is a relative minimum with upslope enhancement in the mountains and more precipitation with the storm center to the southeast.
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GFS pushes the front through tomorrow and Wednesday. Also gives us decent rain/storms with the front. This makes Debby wander back west instead of more due north like other guidance. The other guidance doesn’t push the front through anymore, and Debby’s able to track north.
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5-10” possible with good ratios??
- 755 replies
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6z WPC map is 3-6” for the entire subforum
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Even gfs pulls a lot of moisture up the front though.
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Nearly 1” of rain in a short time from that tiny storm! Juicy airmass!
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12z WPC update still favors a very rainy week
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And that is what happens in the majority of guidance. Euro most consistent, but even the 6z gfs goofy track depiction pulls the moisture up along the boundary next weekend.
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Almost 0.5”. 2” since Monday.
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My neighbors PWS around 0.2”, but it did come quick. Round 2 looks good for now. Rain on back to back days!? That’s allowed?
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I mean, 2-4” ain’t bad…
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I approve of the overnight runs. Euro’s a drought buster.
- 755 replies
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- 11
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Ellicott city, Catonsville, and parts of Baltimore city probably pushing 3-5”. They had 1.5-3” from round 1.
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6.9”/hr rain rate at neighbors PWS
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I keep thinking they’ve turned it around and then…no…
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Constant complaining has marginally worked!
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Another cell less than a mile away. Probably can walk to a spot with over 0.5” today. Sprinkling now.
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I hate being right all the time
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Strong breeze from the outflow of the storm missing me by about a mile
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Guess I should spend an hour+ watering every plant in my yard?
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Storms far north. Storms far south. Hot garbage in between.
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If the hrrr has a clue, I like where I am for today. Probably will get split by hundreds of yards.
