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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    Euro is generally 3-6”, but a few bust/boom spots here and there. Ride up the Apps so it’s a deluge for Shenandoah valley and Blue Ridge.
  2. WxUSAF
    And for a lot of us, the rain’s spread out from this evening through late Friday. So that would reduce flooding risks and help it soak in. Euro really emphasizes the rain tomorrow and Thursday with onshore flow focused along the front through our area.
  3. WxUSAF
    Gfs slowly coming in line with other guidance
  4. WxUSAF
  5. WxUSAF
    0z euro washes Stephen’s City away.
  6. WxUSAF
    Happy hour gfs still with the big left turn
  7. WxUSAF
    Euro takes what’s left of Debby over Annapolis as a 999mb low early Saturday.
  8. WxUSAF
    Depending on the track, I could envision how the metro area is a relative minimum with upslope enhancement in the mountains and more precipitation with the storm center to the southeast.
  9. WxUSAF
    GFS pushes the front through tomorrow and Wednesday. Also gives us decent rain/storms with the front. This makes Debby wander back west instead of more due north like other guidance. The other guidance doesn’t push the front through anymore, and Debby’s able to track north.
  10. WxUSAF
    5-10” possible with good ratios??
  11. WxUSAF
    6z WPC map is 3-6” for the entire subforum
  12. WxUSAF
    Even gfs pulls a lot of moisture up the front though.
  13. WxUSAF
  14. WxUSAF
    Nearly 1” of rain in a short time from that tiny storm! Juicy airmass!
  15. WxUSAF
    12z WPC update still favors a very rainy week
  16. WxUSAF
    And that is what happens in the majority of guidance. Euro most consistent, but even the 6z gfs goofy track depiction pulls the moisture up along the boundary next weekend.
  17. WxUSAF
    Almost 0.5”. 2” since Monday.
  18. WxUSAF
    My neighbors PWS around 0.2”, but it did come quick. Round 2 looks good for now. Rain on back to back days!? That’s allowed?
  19. WxUSAF
    I mean, 2-4” ain’t bad…
  20. WxUSAF
    I approve of the overnight runs. Euro’s a drought buster.
  21. WxUSAF
    Ellicott city, Catonsville, and parts of Baltimore city probably pushing 3-5”. They had 1.5-3” from round 1.
  22. WxUSAF
    6.9”/hr rain rate at neighbors PWS
  23. WxUSAF
    I keep thinking they’ve turned it around and then…no…
  24. WxUSAF
    Constant complaining has marginally worked!
  25. WxUSAF
    Another cell less than a mile away. Probably can walk to a spot with over 0.5” today. Sprinkling now.
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