WxUSAF
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Hot damn. Flipped the EPO from the last one I saw. I’d still not mind if that look is can-kicked for a week or so 10 days. Later in December for that type of look never would hurt.
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You thinking blizzard warnings might be needed??
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In November! There’s a signal for a strong Miller B possibility next week. Euro phases things way far south so we get snow while GFS does it near our latitude and so we get rain and then cold wind. Climo, November, and La Niña all argue hard for a GFS type solution. Going to be cold though.
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Think maybe @MN Transplant?
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Just under 30F at home. 74F here in Key West.
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Nice post which again highlights how we need a NAO ridge to couple with the ENSO favored -WPO for us to have a chance this winter. But if we can get that, we should have some chances for cold and snow. Without it, SE ridge goes on roids.
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Bafflingly zero adjustment. Dolphins were blitzing all the time, everyone knew it, and they still were effective.
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You or the cicadas?
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Thanksgiving morning and Black Friday both in the 20s and maybe scattered flurries??!? Sign me up 12z GFS!!
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For DCA it was apparently the coldest first week of November since 2002. But still no freeze.
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CWG outlook out. Not as pessimistic as I think it could be. I’d take it for sure.
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Nice summary @psuhoffmanand your point about the NAO dovetails nicely with what I just said in the other thread. -WPO is typical for -PDO and that’s bad news for us unless we get NAO help. We want the PAC ridge axis farther east to be ideal for us.
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As @CAPEs map above shows well, a -WPO only really works for us if we also have a -NAO. It can get western Canada nice and cold, but it teleconnects to a -PNA and ridging over us usually. Hence storm track to our west. We want that ridge over AK and the Yukon to be in a good spot for us.
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If it was 3 weeks later I’d be intrigued and cautiously optimistic about the pattern starting Saturday-Sunday and going through at least next week. But mid-November?? Meh. Congrats Deep Creek.
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DeShon Elliot out for the year
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Thankfully no style points in the NFL and they *should* win the next two before a tough 7 game end of season gauntlet awaits.
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Their defense *should* be a lot better but they’re getting smoked on the regular. O line is terrible but I sort of expect that will mostly backups.
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At least we have Tucker I need a drink
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OMG f-cking penalties
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God the Ravens are a mess
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Or not
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Defense finally showed some backbone in the second quarter, but I can’t recall seeing a ravens offense so clueless coming off a bye.
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Make that the defense
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Ravens O-line is a glorified speed bump
