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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    That whole area of snow in SE PA looks aimed right at us...hopefully it holds together well.
  2. WxUSAF
    It's almost stopped here. Let's see what that stuff to our NE does.
  3. WxUSAF
    First band has actually dropped 0.3" IMBY so far. You can see the subsidence out ahead (Harford and Baltimore) of that mega band in Cecil.
  4. WxUSAF
    This is basically me looking out the window and at the radar all day
  5. WxUSAF
    I think we're going to get a piece of it, or whatever's left of it. It's hauling a$$ this way.
  6. WxUSAF
    Fresh coating, so 4” storm total after 3.9” yesterday...
  7. WxUSAF
    Yeah it’s coming down is FINALLY. About as heavy as anytime yesterday.
  8. WxUSAF
    Macroscopic flakes attempting to mix with the predominant microscopic flakes.
  9. WxUSAF
    Radar looks sweet for you M/D line folks, you're going to get smoked. @mappy @losetoa6 @psuhoffman @HighStakes
  10. WxUSAF
    Confirmed! After 14 hours of frozen mist, followed by 16 hours of liquid mist, I'm back to FROZEN MIST!!!
  11. WxUSAF
  12. WxUSAF
  13. WxUSAF
    I think it will, just agonizing to wait. Radar looks awesome for you right now. Enjoy man. I'd take what the Euro's selling, damn. That's a big jump from previous runs for MBY. I'm skeptical. I'd love 2". Get me to 6" storm total.
  14. WxUSAF
    CC mix line is collapsing quickly to the southeast. Just need some friggin precipitation please for chrissakes.
  15. WxUSAF
    Snow to our southwest, northwest, and northeast. Mist here.
  16. WxUSAF
    Conditions so far unchanged here in the land of endless mist
  17. WxUSAF
    God, it's annoying. I'd take sleet! No more tiny little droplets of precipitation! Either way, radar seems WAY more spotty than any model predicted for 18z today.
  18. WxUSAF
    Can really notice the precip bands starting to pivot now and rotating counterclockwise.
  19. WxUSAF
    Argh, refuses to do anything but FZDZ here. Let's go already!
  20. WxUSAF
    Still mostly -FZRADZ with only a few pellets.
  21. WxUSAF
    SPC mesoanalyis now has the 850 0C line from southern end of 495 to Annapolis and then up the east side of the Bay toward Elkton. Big jump in the last few minutes, not sure what it saw to indicate that. But we're obviously getting colder aloft with people N/W switching to snow. Hopefully I do too soon...
  22. WxUSAF
    -FZRAPL as the heavier radar echoes move overhead. 30F.
  23. WxUSAF
    I think we should wait until the storm is finally done before analyzing guidance performance. Guidance typically struggles more in Ninas than in Ninos. Miller B's are also notoriously more difficult. From the point of view of sensible weather (snowfall) that we all care about, the GFS bros did do quite well if you look back over the last week. They were consistently showing snow maxes to our north. Now whether that was "right for the wrong reason" or not, that's worth a deeper look later this week.
  24. WxUSAF
    We're not going to go down this path again. But this is not an accurate statement.
  25. WxUSAF
    oooo...that's encouraging. Suggests that heavier precip can punch through that warm layer and/or cool it down.
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