Looks like this is manifesting in our rain forecast with both an earlier start tonight and the secondary low hanging around in our area and bringing rain Sunday-Monday. That second part has been the tough forecast.
Esrlier start and a break tomorrow afternoon is good news for my mother in laws birthday party. But bad news for me sitting out at the Nats-Phillies game tonight
Fall is here and it's time to open up this year's contest.
You are forecasting the first day the temperature reaches 32F at BWI, IAD, DCA, and RIC. Tiebreaker is highest temperature at DCA in October.
This thread will lock at midnight October 7th so you have about a week!
Happy freezing!
Other guidance trended more toward the GFS solution than anything else overnight with that second round pushed south and diminished. That part is still a wild card. First round of rain looks basically locked in .
Euro definitely not on #TeamGFS. Gets rain started Friday evening, way earlier than other guidance. Actually a break for late Saturday and early Sunday, then more rain through Tuesday. VA is drowned…3-10”. Less for MD, but still a bunch. GFS a total outlier.
Differences in rainfall totals between the GFS and other 12z globals so far are ludicrous. GFS is like 0.5-1” for most of the sub. Icon is like 3-6” and GGEM 2-4”.
Thanks!
You could just go the cheaper/lazier/slower route and get a native meadow seed mix and just let it fill in. Those usually have a variety of native grasses and wildflowers that will handle a sunny and dry spot well once they are established. Lots of online native nurseries sell something like that.
We have my mother in laws 70th birthday party at a brewery Saturday. Was also really hoping for an after-sunset start, but that seems to be a losing bet right now.