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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. Yeah, seems solid. Surface temps are borderline for DC and points south. Of course, icon’s internal SLR of 1.3:1 paints about 1-2” across the area.
  2. Best panels are of course missing on TT, but Icon (which SUCKS) is on team GFS/Ukie. ha, ninja’d
  3. Yup. Get the @Bob Chill 8-2 front orientation instead of 7-1 and if that southern wave can lag a little bit, it could be a snowy hit. Ensemble individuals have been highlighting that period for a few days.
  4. Gorgeous. Too bad it’s 110 hours away and probably all downhill from here
  5. After seeing the euro, I can see how getting that northern stream snow (a lot like the “PRE” snow event we had) requires the southern stream to at least get neutral tilted so it can advect some moisture northward. Northern stream actually looked better on the Euro vs GFS/GGEM, but its southern stream remains positively tilted and so there’s no moisture to wring out as snow.
  6. I tend to agree. GGEM also had 1-2” this way.
  7. The northern stream not digging as much gives us a consolation prize.
  8. Through 108 I do not think this is the GFS run we wanted. Leaving more every back in TX (seems familiar) and northern stream isn’t digging as much.
  9. 41/32 with sprinkles and a few sleet pellets. What time does my surprise snow storm start??
  10. Nino is looking possible if not likely. No idea about Modoki.
  11. Ukie is great at global H5 anomalies and consistently shitty at east coast sensible weather prediction
  12. H5 improved for Sunday on GFS, but not much better at the surface.
  13. We needed this to happen overnight tonight and that would have helped a little. I’d imagine elevation and ruralness will play a role in whatever slush meteors may fall.
  14. Oh, well in THAT case. ALL IN
  15. Am I missing something? Are we rooting for some light rain showers?
  16. Low of 16.7. @WeatherShak i think it does well IMBY if it’s cloudy or when the sun’s not up. Probably mounting location plays a role.
  17. ^thats what my wife got for me for Xmas! Also at Costco. Seems to do pretty well I think. Thermometer runs warm on sunny days.
  18. Got a few snowflakes falling
  19. Temp down to 33. Ice storm starting soon!!
  20. Sleet/rain mix in Columbia. Ice storm verified!
  21. Yeah, but very odd with all the precip on the back of the storm and almost none in the warm sector. It's almost just like a surface reflection of the strong ULL.
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