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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. Down to 39 already. Should be able to get 7F over 9+ hours?
  2. ^agreed. Think this might be the best fall color in 5+ years.
  3. IAD snuck down to 33 as @George BM mentioned in the contest thread. Only 40 at BWI, and DCA and RIC not worth mentioning. 38.3 for the low IMBY.
  4. Freeze watches and warnings surrounding the metro area on all sides, but none for central MD or the 495-adjacent counties in VA.
  5. Looking like the -PNA pattern may be more durable, although it does seem to relax toward a more zonal pattern by Halloween weekend.
  6. Chances the next 3 days look lower than it did before. I still think IAD has a good chance, but BWI and RIC may come up short.
  7. They still might reach the playoffs because there’s a lot of mediocrity in the division and the AFC. But a team like the chiefs or bills will crush them.
  8. Terrible. They’ve had second half leads in each game. Maybe even 4th quarter leads? Lamar’s interceptions the last few weeks have all been bad decisions.
  9. Ravens are allergic to holding leads
  10. Think it’s possible IAD freezes Tuesday, RIC Wednesday, and then BWI Thursday.
  11. WxUSAF

    Winter 2022-23

    Yeah, I agree with your general point that a “climo” airmass is increasingly insufficient for us to get snow outside of your yard. Need to get inland or north of NYC for a climo airmass to be sufficient. 2-4F of warming is a killer when a lot of past snowstorms were 30-34F wet snow events.
  12. WxUSAF

    Winter 2022-23

    -12 is a bit of an exaggeration because overnight temps are normally below freezing. Need like a -3 - -4 on the daily mean temp to have a daily mean temp below freezing.
  13. Start a medium/long range October and November thread if you’d like
  14. This feels a little bit lagging, but hoping the colors will be great when I’m at Deep Creek Lake next week.
  15. Wentz has been my fantasy QB since Dak got hurt. He actually put up a few good games, but these last 2 weeks…
  16. WxUSAF

    Winter 2022-23

    Maybe we need a medium/long range thread again, but it seems that the +PNA/-NAO pattern will probably continue to be durable for awhile, despite a period of -PNA coming after next week. This discourages me as I have a hard time imagining that continuing to hold into DJF.
  17. WxUSAF

    Winter 2022-23

    Good. Let’s have a solid 6 week period of -PNA to charge up the cold air source region and then get a pattern flip again in mid December.
  18. I slept through an earthquake!?
  19. WxUSAF

    Winter 2022-23

    Below normal temps and snow. Nickel and dimed to death with one good event that was a 33F paste bomb.
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