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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. Thinking the forecast for future Helene is going to be unusually tricky given the very blocked mid latitude flow and potential for multiple cut off lows around the CONUS.
  2. 12z gfs takes a major cane (940mb) into Tampa Bay
  3. Decent rain event for Saturday night and early Sunday has popped up on guidance the last 12-24 hours. 12z continuing. Looks like 0.25-0.5” type deal.
  4. A lot of guidance had lower totals in central MD. Yesterday’s euro and NAM busted badly. I think gfs did among the best with this event for our subforum general, although no guidance did great
  5. Blob of rain over @CAPE refusing to move to the west side of the bay
  6. Not sure what to say about the O’s. I’m sure the dark days of 2018-2021 had offensive stretches like this but maybe I just expected it and don’t remember. But this complete team wide ineptitude is inexplicable with a team that was scoring the most runs in the league 3 months ago.
  7. 0.02” at home so on the board for the month finally. Over seeded the lawn quickly with rain falling so I’m all in now.
  8. Gfs notably wetter for most of the metro areas
  9. Icon staying in the rainy camp. RGEM got juicer vs 6z. My quick read of the wetter models is that they delay the development of the secondary (?) low off the coast relative to the dry models.
  10. Literally a 10” range in rainfall forecasts over the next 48 hours lol
  11. Once upon a time, euro+NAM agreement <24 hours until game time was money in the bank
  12. Euro is juicer for immediate DC but dry for NE MD. Quite a gradient. Not sure whether to overseed or not…
  13. Hires FV3 and 3k NAM are like inverses of each other as to where the heavy rain goes
  14. It’s actually sprinkling in Ellicott city
  15. Pathetic day for Baltimore sports
  16. No signs of any change Not from over 50. Inside 50 yes
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