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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    FV3 is the GFS dynamical core run at mesoscale resolution. I think it may be taking over for the NAM, but @high risk or @dtk can confirm.
  2. WxUSAF
    @SnowenOutThere start a thread and we can put 12z output in there for wednesdays major snowfall
  3. WxUSAF
    Apparently part of the decision was that Marlon Humphrey has a serious injury and they were basically out of corners
  4. WxUSAF
    Defense has been pretty good lately, but they can’t get to the QB and they don’t get turnovers. So pretty amazing they’ve had any success. Of course they’ve gone against some mediocre at best offenses.
  5. WxUSAF
    Not sure I agree with the call but it was there and Lamar made yet another bad pass. He made a bunch of those today.
  6. WxUSAF
    Ravens offense needs a come to Jesus moment. They’re just ridiculously out of sorts and if they were half of what they were earlier this year, they win today going away
  7. WxUSAF
    This is exactly what the ravens have done the last 4-6 weeks. Defense been good, but gives up big plays. Offense has been generally shitty.
  8. WxUSAF
    What a terrible decision after a great drive
  9. WxUSAF
    A bit juicier than 0z
  10. WxUSAF
    With this increasingly coherent MJO passage past the dateline, we should start to see some response in the ensemble mean 500mb anomalies. But yikes, they haven’t yet.
  11. WxUSAF
    I mean, sure, it can happen. But I’ll believe it when I’m shoveling.
  12. WxUSAF
    Lol 6z GFS for next Sunday. Anafrontal events with dynamic cooling needed to get snow. We excel at those!!
  13. WxUSAF
    WINTER WILL BE OVER IF WE FAIL
  14. WxUSAF
    18z icon is nice
  15. WxUSAF
    Solid step toward the other guidance but no way is it time to start a thread. Maybe happy hour Tuesday??
  16. WxUSAF
    I hope so. Would like to start seeing some improvement on D15 ensemble means but they still look like a dumpster fire right now. But yes, I’d also prefer to have our best chance in late December to February if we can get it.
  17. WxUSAF
    Stolen from elsewhere… This would be a substantial improvement with a good MJO pass toward and past the dateline and actually subsidence developing over the maritime continent by mid-late month. If this comes to pass, I’d expect our 500mb charts to show some improvement after mid month.
  18. WxUSAF
    And Ukie.
  19. WxUSAF
    TJ Watt was reactivated by the Stillers. I mean, I’m glad he doesn’t have covid, but wouldn’t have minded another 2 days in testing ambiguity… Question now is where’s the O/U on his sack total for tomorrow? 3.5?
  20. WxUSAF
    @MillvilleWx if we can’t get a good, old-fashioned cold shot with the source region that frigid, by mid January at the latest, then it might be time to quit winter in the Mid-Atlantic. I’m not even talking anything that dramatic. Like highs near freezing and lows in the low-mid 10s without snowcover and perfect radiational cooling conditions. Shouldn’t be as hard as it’s been for the last 2-3 years!!
  21. WxUSAF
    Check the 3rd graphic in this tweet: composite 500mb height pattern for December MJO phase 7 in Nina’s. Quite a few similarities to the GEFS plot that @CAPEposted with -EPO, start of NAO ridging and gradient pattern over us.
  22. WxUSAF
    Weren’t we supposed to get down into the 30s this morning? Only 44F at my house. Freaking DCA is colder than that.
  23. WxUSAF
    Gradient pattern. Would not be surprising if the pattern evolves to that as it wouldn’t take major events like an SSW, etc. Gradient patterns can work but would favor points to our north. Good news is that Canada has plenty of cold air to work with.
  24. WxUSAF
    Ukie is real live actual snowstorm. Just like JB promised!!
  25. WxUSAF
    That’s odd since JB is touting his 95-96 analog so much!!
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