It has potential to be big for someone for sure, but the track is going to be touchy and I wouldn’t be surprised to see it bounce around more. Without any blocking, it’s just a shortwave riding along the longwave trough and where that longwave trough axis is will dictate where the storm develops and tracks. Also a stronger shortwave would cut in this situation because there’s no blocking. But there’s a lot of baroclinicity to tap into between warm ocean and a solidly chilly airmass.