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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. Yeah. It could be a warning level event for some, but it’s not a ton more. Definitely reminds me of some of the 13-14 type events without Atlantic side blocking.
  2. It has potential to be big for someone for sure, but the track is going to be touchy and I wouldn’t be surprised to see it bounce around more. Without any blocking, it’s just a shortwave riding along the longwave trough and where that longwave trough axis is will dictate where the storm develops and tracks. Also a stronger shortwave would cut in this situation because there’s no blocking. But there’s a lot of baroclinicity to tap into between warm ocean and a solidly chilly airmass.
  3. Nice visual. Increasing separation from the northern stream with a stronger southern stream shortwave. Maybe even a slight negative tilt on the 18z??
  4. The best forecasts American dollars can buy!
  5. Happy hour might even make DT love the GFS
  6. Think it was time for the Monday event even though it will probably only crush our spirit. Friday storm thread is crazy talk.
  7. Foggy Centennial Lake I love cherry blossom season Visibility well under 1/4mi IMBY now
  8. Snow for the VA capes? Can we get a late north trend for the metros?
  9. Seems more likely than not that some places in the sub forum will get accumulation from Monday so I’d suggest starting a thread for the 18z runs.
  10. Yup, I’ve been having this same thought. The possible cold shots advertised next weekend and the week after *should* be good enough for widespread teens for lows and sub freezing highs even without snow cover. We’ll see…
  11. 51F to start the year. Happy new year weenies!
  12. So sorry to hear of your loss @WxWatcher007. Glad to hear he was surrounded by loved ones. Best wishes to you and your family as you grieve.
  13. 18z RGEM was a huge shift and has some snow when the run stops at hr84. FWIW (not much)
  14. Mrs. WxUSAF got the family this PWS for Christmas. I’ve wanted a PWS for awhile, but never pulled the trigger in a Davis VP2 because they’re like $600. This one was obviously a lot less. I don’t care about wind too much because there’s nowhere I can mount it that would be clear enough. Anyone have personal experience with this unit or have recommendations/thoughts?
  15. Euro also has a sharper shortwave than 0z, but much too far south.
  16. That could be one of those rare setups that actually has a north trend at the end for us Possible. A stronger shortwave will increase ridging ahead and tend to move it north. GGEM wants nothing to do with it.
  17. 12z has a better shortwave presentation than 6z, but it’s farther south. Move it north a bit and the result is more like the 0z storm.
  18. Nothing. Was a solid dusting in NE MD and right across the M/D line.
  19. In Bel Air visiting family and there’s a dusting here. Probably 0.2-0.3” after accounting for some melting.
  20. Heading to longwood gardens this afternoon. Hoping for some accumulation!
  21. Changing back and forth between sleet and rain now
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