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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. Just had a shower pass through with temp of 30
  2. There’s maybe an outside chance at something light with the warm front around Wednesday/Thursday.
  3. The threat window opens +/- Friday IMO. And gets better most likely as we move into the following week. But there’s a ton of shortwaves flying around and the track of any storm is contingent on the conditions prepared by the previous wave. I think it’s possible by Tuesday that we might know if we’re in the game for something in the Friday-Sunday period. Anything after that will take longer. Don’t get too beholden too any individual Op scenario until a storm is within 72-96 hours at most.
  4. “Now witness one of nature’s great spectacles. Middle aged men take their first teetering steps into a world transformed by ice and snow.”
  5. Places that can retain some snowpack through tomorrow will see it turn into a glacier with the absorbed moisture from the rain and then very cold temps.
  6. Not yet… Hit 16F IMBY before midnight, then temps rose for several hours. Now back down to 17F.
  7. Down to 19 so far in Columbia
  8. Monday’s snow stuck to my solar panels more than any snowfall in the last 5 winters since I got them. 0 power since Sunday.
  9. Hmmm…very puzzling. BWI climate report still says 6.0” on the LWX webpage.
  10. Check into BWIs total. Think they revised downward on Monday.
  11. I empathize with the Monday miss but today was a lucky low end warning/high end advisory snow. Northern stream Miller B that we got that? Gravy. Boston cleans up on those, we usually lose.
  12. These two events were perfect in a lot of ways. Didn’t really give them any significance until about 48-72 hours, low emotional investment going in, then both overperformed IMBY. Wonderful.
  13. Midnight high of 34, daytime high of 29, low today will be whatever it gets to at midnight. Currently 26.
  14. Yeah perhaps. A bit of even-ing out. Jan 2019 was the last luck DC has had for sure with the mesoscale band adding several more inches at the end of the storm. I caught that band as well, but it stopped literally a couple miles to my east. Last year was a hair's breadth from being really great for the whole region, we had the storms, but couldn't get or keep a "good enough" airmass to save our lives. Hence 5-6" at DCA, 17" for me, and like 50" for you.
  15. ^nice. 10.7" at the closest to me and I measured 10.8".
  16. Agree. As you've said many times, a lot of our snowfall comes down to luck. The pattern this week was "decent", but not spectacular, with "decent" cold air, but far from arctic air masses. And we scored twice with advisory/warning level events. That's some solid luck. Just some normal luck for the rest of the month with the pattern being as good as advertised and we could end up with a very special and memorable winter period.
  17. @TerpWeather made a nice map that shows it
  18. Yes. That was a beautiful evolution to what would have been a major east coast storm. Can see the two separate shortwaves out west here 24hours before that map posted above:
  19. There still was a bit of a middle finger/screw zone last night, its just the ratios filled it in somewhat. NE MD (Cecil county) and northern DE had 2.5-3.5" while places at their same latitude to both the west and east did better. The comparable amounts down the west shore of the Bay into DC may have been part of that as well.
  20. https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=PNS&issuedby=LWX
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