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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. 2-3:1. But sleet into a snow layer doesn’t immediately add much because it’s just sort of cratering into it and compacting the snow.
  2. You’re that much farther NW so I think that’s reasonable.
  3. Dang, you’re more optimistic than I and I thought I was weenieing out a bit. I was thinking 2” was a solid bar to clear.
  4. No climate impact expected from Hunga Tonga
  5. @RaleighWx was going with D-1” of snow and sleet for them, so that looks right on.
  6. Snow and sleet at my sisters house in Cary, NC. They have a roof/mulch dusting. Never was pure snow she said.
  7. 12/0 now. Got down to 10.6 earlier. Coldest in a long damn time. Crazy to think it will be raining in 12-14 hours.
  8. I should be clear. That response would be for next winter.
  9. From a purely mid-Atlantic weather weenie point of view, we do NOT want another Pinatubo. Stratospheric volcanic response is a strong winter time +AO.
  10. Lol 23 at DCA. The Streak probably lives yet again.
  11. That's wild, I just looked. 12z GFS also has this thin pocket of warm air aloft at 850mb west of the Apps at 0z Monday. Seems that there's a 850-700mb secondary low that moves west of the Apps and brings that warm air aloft. Interesting.
  12. It's making the last hour of work go easier.
  13. Well in your Jan 2016 type events, it usually is pure weenie fodder. At least the 12k.
  14. Started this evening (while still working, yo @Yeoman!) with a Flying Dog Tropical Bitch.
  15. For our region, the journey to climo NEVER involves pure-snow events only. Well, only in magical fantasy years like 2009-10. You got to take the slop with the snow. We had 2 pretty lovely all snow/mostly snow events last week. So I'll take my medicine, eat the slop, and tack on another couple/few inches to my annual total.
  16. Was it the 12/2020 storm that @Cobalt reminded me of yesterday where we had a somewhat similar discussion? NAM went nuts with the warm layer intrusion way inland. As I recall, it was "right" in the sense that a warm layer did go much farther inland than we had been thinking up until that point, but it did end up underdone with the front end snow? The Euro has very good vertical (and horizontal) resolution as well, so got to give that credence also IMO.
  17. I'm skeptical DCA gets below freezing this weekend at all.
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