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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    Same. Can’t squint a flake
  2. WxUSAF
    Something weird on radar just west of IAD
  3. WxUSAF
    Put the snowboard in the yard, so it’s my fault when it rains.
  4. WxUSAF
    #NeverApologize More seriously, you’re all good. There’s lots of crotchety people here and you’ll learn how to ignore if you want. I think it’s great you’re here and don’t let our first snow fail of the season change your posting!
  5. WxUSAF
    72 hours is typical for smaller events I’d say. We’ve done longer for big dogs that have some level of consensus already.
  6. WxUSAF
    #blessed
  7. WxUSAF
    Go sit in the corner until January
  8. WxUSAF
    Stoked for all the neighborhood's leaves to be in my front yard tomorrow morning
  9. WxUSAF
    Nice to see the Euro get in on the "more than flurries/sprinkles" game.
  10. WxUSAF
    Hearing 18z euro may be better??
  11. WxUSAF
    This dovetails nicely with that tweet by Eric Webb that @frd posted. A strong Scandi ridge is a typical precursor for -NAO events as the Rossby wave propagates and the ridge moves westward into the NAO domain with time. I doubt we're in a cold/snowy pattern by Xmas, but I expect things will be moving in a positive way by the beginning of that week around the 20th.
  12. WxUSAF
    Literal factor of 10 difference in precip total between the 12k and 3k NAM for MBY
  13. WxUSAF
    Trough sharpened on the Ukie vs 0z even though the precip was still paltry. Did euro do the same?
  14. WxUSAF
    Probably reasonable. Surface temps will be important though (when are they not??), so it probably a T at DCA and 1” for the Parrs Ridge crowd which stay at 30-32F for the duration.
  15. WxUSAF
    Ground is the proper way. Elevated and liquid nitrogen cooled is the weenie way .
  16. WxUSAF
    More signs that the torch shouldn’t last forever. Last nights ensemble means finally showed some changes in the long range with a -EPO and AO going more neutral on GEFS and EPS. Still rough over us though because of a -PNA.
  17. WxUSAF
    Just a 2’x2’ piece of plywood and paint it white. Try to place it in the open away from obstructions and places that would drift. Measure up the hourly and wipe the board every 6 hours.
  18. WxUSAF
    NAM and GFS soundings are respectable for Wednesday morning in terms of temperatures and dendritic growth zone. Column is well below freezing except for right at the surface potentially.
  19. WxUSAF
    Maybe things are meeting somewhat in the middle?
  20. WxUSAF
    FV3 is the GFS dynamical core run at mesoscale resolution. I think it may be taking over for the NAM, but @high risk or @dtk can confirm.
  21. WxUSAF
    @SnowenOutThere start a thread and we can put 12z output in there for wednesdays major snowfall
  22. WxUSAF
    Apparently part of the decision was that Marlon Humphrey has a serious injury and they were basically out of corners
  23. WxUSAF
    Defense has been pretty good lately, but they can’t get to the QB and they don’t get turnovers. So pretty amazing they’ve had any success. Of course they’ve gone against some mediocre at best offenses.
  24. WxUSAF
    Not sure I agree with the call but it was there and Lamar made yet another bad pass. He made a bunch of those today.
  25. WxUSAF
    Ravens offense needs a come to Jesus moment. They’re just ridiculously out of sorts and if they were half of what they were earlier this year, they win today going away
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