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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    Next Tuesday-Wednesday and then next weekend have been threat “windows” on the ensembles for several days already with transient Op run hits and teases. This is obviously a fun solution that will be gone in 6 hours, but its still a time period to watch. We should have a good idea in a week lol.
  2. WxUSAF
    @psuhoffman Storm about to rock and roll on the GFS
  3. WxUSAF
    Major Jan 3 vibes from how the Icon develops next weeks chance. Northern stream gets out of the way, brings cold air, and let’s the southern stream ride over us.
  4. WxUSAF
    Mixing in Greenbelt starting
  5. WxUSAF
    @Herb@MAWS and @Scraff, I’m at work so let me know if we can slant stick a pity 0.1-0.3”. My PWS is down to 35.0F
  6. WxUSAF
    Snow mixing in Columbia per my daughter
  7. WxUSAF
    Temp finally turned over at home as I was driving to work and dropping steadily now. But probably too little too late.
  8. WxUSAF
    Lol my temp refuses to budge
  9. WxUSAF
    How’s next week looking???
  10. WxUSAF
    Correct
  11. WxUSAF
    My temperature has been rising the last 30 minutes. Is that a good sign for the changeover??
  12. WxUSAF
    Everything
  13. WxUSAF
    *weeps silently*
  14. WxUSAF
    Come on HoCo, show some backbone!!
  15. WxUSAF
    Thoughts and prayers
  16. WxUSAF
    Correlation coefficient is showing the snow line collapsing south around DC now, but I expect that means that it is snow at the height of the radar beam, but low level temps remain way too warm.
  17. WxUSAF
    39 with rain
  18. WxUSAF
    Hug the Tomer MPAS
  19. WxUSAF
    This thing is sliding away from NC/VA even. I’m still hoping my nieces can get a good snow in the Raleigh area, but the trend is not their friend right now.
  20. WxUSAF
    Losing a little to surface melting plus above freezing temps initially at start means I’m fairly skeptical of these Kuchera maps showing >10:1 ratios essentially. I’d love more than 3” for this storm but I doubt it.
  21. WxUSAF
    48/27, excited for my snowstorm!
  22. WxUSAF
    It's close. Sort of similar to the GFS, but with a stronger southern stream low. Move that northern stream a little faster so it can drag the boundary back southward and that's a nice hit.
  23. WxUSAF
    Eh, doubt it. As much as I'm hugging King GFS and Prince NAM, the GFS has been too wet leading into storms this year a few times. I'd have to get 2.9" to beat Sunday/Monday, which I'm skeptical on. Hope I'm wrong!
  24. WxUSAF
    More like 5.
  25. WxUSAF
    Next Tuesday/Wednesday is clearly the next threat window after Saturday. Been teases/hits on the guidance for a couple days already in that timeframe.
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