Jump to content

WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
  • Posts

    25,681
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. Next Tuesday-Wednesday and then next weekend have been threat “windows” on the ensembles for several days already with transient Op run hits and teases. This is obviously a fun solution that will be gone in 6 hours, but its still a time period to watch. We should have a good idea in a week lol.
  2. @psuhoffman Storm about to rock and roll on the GFS
  3. Major Jan 3 vibes from how the Icon develops next weeks chance. Northern stream gets out of the way, brings cold air, and let’s the southern stream ride over us.
  4. @Herb@MAWS and @Scraff, I’m at work so let me know if we can slant stick a pity 0.1-0.3”. My PWS is down to 35.0F
  5. Temp finally turned over at home as I was driving to work and dropping steadily now. But probably too little too late.
  6. My temperature has been rising the last 30 minutes. Is that a good sign for the changeover??
  7. Correlation coefficient is showing the snow line collapsing south around DC now, but I expect that means that it is snow at the height of the radar beam, but low level temps remain way too warm.
  8. This thing is sliding away from NC/VA even. I’m still hoping my nieces can get a good snow in the Raleigh area, but the trend is not their friend right now.
  9. Losing a little to surface melting plus above freezing temps initially at start means I’m fairly skeptical of these Kuchera maps showing >10:1 ratios essentially. I’d love more than 3” for this storm but I doubt it.
  10. It's close. Sort of similar to the GFS, but with a stronger southern stream low. Move that northern stream a little faster so it can drag the boundary back southward and that's a nice hit.
  11. Eh, doubt it. As much as I'm hugging King GFS and Prince NAM, the GFS has been too wet leading into storms this year a few times. I'd have to get 2.9" to beat Sunday/Monday, which I'm skeptical on. Hope I'm wrong!
×
×
  • Create New...