WxUSAF
-
Posts
26,428 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by WxUSAF
-
Historic Lake Effect Event?! 11/17-11/21
WxUSAF replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Good luck with this one folks! My grandmother lived north of Niagara Falls and as a kid I was always devastated when these types of events occurred and she would say she still had bare ground lol. -
Radiating well tonight. Down to 32-33 already.
-
^certainly possible places like Hagerstown could get a quick hit before a changeover. 18z guidance trended cooler across the board it looks like.
-
^that’ll do…seems like our current cold pattern holds into ~Thanksgiving or so, then we probably relax. If we reload (hi @leesburg 04!) by 10 December, we could be in good shape with conducive climo supporting snow events.
- 735 replies
-
- 10
-
-
-
This seems…not bad? Most consistent feature is the NPac ridge, but most of the guidance has it oriented more over AK proper than the Aleutians and with it closer to the west coast. Hence the SE ridge is fairly muted in these looks and is more of a WAR. +AO though as well which isn’t ideal.
-
GFS and Icon say Saturday is the coldest morning. GGEM and Euro say Sunday. GGEM is kooky cold (it has low level temp issues), but euro is quite chilly also with widespread low 20s. Idea of a late weekend storm looks dead for now. On a different note, didn’t tropical tidbits have Euro weekly last year? I don’t see it now.
-
HenCo-HoCo death band is a really big band
-
2022 Mid-Atlantic Garden, Lawn, and Other Green Stuff Thread
WxUSAF replied to mattie g's topic in Mid Atlantic
With several hard freezes in the next week, growing season is over. I’ll mow once more to mulch leaves and cut the grass low so our dustings look nicer.- 137 replies
-
- 4
-
-
- maters
- green stuff
- (and 5 more)
-
If the forecast holds and DCA reaches 32 on ~Saturday, @GramaxRefugee has this locked up.
-
Our long nightmare is over finally
-
BWI and RIC have reported hourly obs of 33, but need to see if an intrahour got to 32.
-
This game is nuts
-
BWI minimum November temps going back to 2009. So I think there’s a chance we get in the colder tier (23 and under). Teens at BWI would be quite impressive. 27, 25, 22, 24,21, 23, 28, 18, 19, 25, 26, 25,28
-
That’s some legit cold air (for November) before and especially after that storm. I’m going to look back at the last 10-15 Novembers and see where upper 10s/low 20s would rank if we manage to get that cold.
-
Upgraded to freeze warning
-
Best if you don’t overthink this
-
Freeze watch up for most of MD that hasn’t had a freeze yet except the lower eastern shore. BWI and RIC still probably hit 32 Monday or Tuesday am. But cold shot next Friday-Saturday looks like a hard freeze for everyone outside of downtown DC with widespread mid 20s.
-
Round 2 was a total bust
-
0.53” and sitting in the dry slot. Probably will be tough to break 1”.
-
Only 0.45” here so far
-
Seems like a “hard freeze” will wait until late next week for most, but Mon-Tues should be enough for BWI and RIC to hit 32 or just below.
-
The pattern after the pattern change’s pattern changes once more. That’s the one!
-
I think there’s been enough modeling to say that chances of early season snow is above (well above?) normal for the D6-14 period. Still not even a 50/50 chance given climo, but the pattern is nice with the strong -EPO providing cold air and the remnant SE ridge setting the storm track near us or to our south. Bummer we’re not getting this 1 month (or even 2 weeks) later.
