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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    Euro has some flurries/snow showers early Sunday as a reinforcing cold shot arrives.
  2. WxUSAF

    Winter 2022-23

    WxUSAF replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic

    CWG winter outlook posted with major contributions from @Deck Pic. Looks reasonable to me.
  3. WxUSAF
    Mrs. WxUSAF confirms. On the board for 2022-23!
  4. WxUSAF
    November sun angle is a killer
  5. WxUSAF
    I drag most of my leaves back to my fence line under our pine trees. They break down and it’s better ecologically. I can’t quite get to “leave the leaves” entirely, but I try to bag as little as I can. I mulch a lot of the rest.
  6. WxUSAF
    Good luck with this one folks! My grandmother lived north of Niagara Falls and as a kid I was always devastated when these types of events occurred and she would say she still had bare ground lol.
  7. WxUSAF
    Radiating well tonight. Down to 32-33 already.
  8. WxUSAF
    ^certainly possible places like Hagerstown could get a quick hit before a changeover. 18z guidance trended cooler across the board it looks like.
  9. WxUSAF
  10. WxUSAF
    ^that’ll do…seems like our current cold pattern holds into ~Thanksgiving or so, then we probably relax. If we reload (hi @leesburg 04!) by 10 December, we could be in good shape with conducive climo supporting snow events.
  11. WxUSAF

    Winter 2022-23

    WxUSAF replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic

    This seems…not bad? Most consistent feature is the NPac ridge, but most of the guidance has it oriented more over AK proper than the Aleutians and with it closer to the west coast. Hence the SE ridge is fairly muted in these looks and is more of a WAR. +AO though as well which isn’t ideal.
  12. WxUSAF
    GFS and Icon say Saturday is the coldest morning. GGEM and Euro say Sunday. GGEM is kooky cold (it has low level temp issues), but euro is quite chilly also with widespread low 20s. Idea of a late weekend storm looks dead for now. On a different note, didn’t tropical tidbits have Euro weekly last year? I don’t see it now.
  13. WxUSAF
    HenCo-HoCo death band is a really big band
  14. WxUSAF
    With several hard freezes in the next week, growing season is over. I’ll mow once more to mulch leaves and cut the grass low so our dustings look nicer.
  15. WxUSAF
    If the forecast holds and DCA reaches 32 on ~Saturday, @GramaxRefugee has this locked up.
  16. WxUSAF
    Our long nightmare is over finally
  17. WxUSAF
    BWI and RIC have reported hourly obs of 33, but need to see if an intrahour got to 32.
  18. WxUSAF
    28 IMBY!
  19. WxUSAF
    This game is nuts
  20. WxUSAF
    BWI minimum November temps going back to 2009. So I think there’s a chance we get in the colder tier (23 and under). Teens at BWI would be quite impressive. 27, 25, 22, 24,21, 23, 28, 18, 19, 25, 26, 25,28
  21. WxUSAF
    That’s some legit cold air (for November) before and especially after that storm. I’m going to look back at the last 10-15 Novembers and see where upper 10s/low 20s would rank if we manage to get that cold.
  22. WxUSAF
    Upgraded to freeze warning
  23. WxUSAF

    Winter 2022-23

    WxUSAF replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic

    Best if you don’t overthink this
  24. WxUSAF
    Freeze watch up for most of MD that hasn’t had a freeze yet except the lower eastern shore. BWI and RIC still probably hit 32 Monday or Tuesday am. But cold shot next Friday-Saturday looks like a hard freeze for everyone outside of downtown DC with widespread mid 20s.
  25. WxUSAF
    Round 2 was a total bust
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