WxUSAF
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Everything posted by WxUSAF
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^that’ll do…seems like our current cold pattern holds into ~Thanksgiving or so, then we probably relax. If we reload (hi @leesburg 04!) by 10 December, we could be in good shape with conducive climo supporting snow events.
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This seems…not bad? Most consistent feature is the NPac ridge, but most of the guidance has it oriented more over AK proper than the Aleutians and with it closer to the west coast. Hence the SE ridge is fairly muted in these looks and is more of a WAR. +AO though as well which isn’t ideal.
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GFS and Icon say Saturday is the coldest morning. GGEM and Euro say Sunday. GGEM is kooky cold (it has low level temp issues), but euro is quite chilly also with widespread low 20s. Idea of a late weekend storm looks dead for now. On a different note, didn’t tropical tidbits have Euro weekly last year? I don’t see it now.
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HenCo-HoCo death band is a really big band
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2022 Mid-Atlantic Garden, Lawn, and Other Green Stuff Thread
WxUSAF replied to mattie g's topic in Mid Atlantic
With several hard freezes in the next week, growing season is over. I’ll mow once more to mulch leaves and cut the grass low so our dustings look nicer.- 137 replies
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If the forecast holds and DCA reaches 32 on ~Saturday, @GramaxRefugee has this locked up.
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Our long nightmare is over finally
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BWI and RIC have reported hourly obs of 33, but need to see if an intrahour got to 32.
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This game is nuts
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BWI minimum November temps going back to 2009. So I think there’s a chance we get in the colder tier (23 and under). Teens at BWI would be quite impressive. 27, 25, 22, 24,21, 23, 28, 18, 19, 25, 26, 25,28
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That’s some legit cold air (for November) before and especially after that storm. I’m going to look back at the last 10-15 Novembers and see where upper 10s/low 20s would rank if we manage to get that cold.
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Upgraded to freeze warning
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Best if you don’t overthink this
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Freeze watch up for most of MD that hasn’t had a freeze yet except the lower eastern shore. BWI and RIC still probably hit 32 Monday or Tuesday am. But cold shot next Friday-Saturday looks like a hard freeze for everyone outside of downtown DC with widespread mid 20s.
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Round 2 was a total bust
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0.53” and sitting in the dry slot. Probably will be tough to break 1”.
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Only 0.45” here so far
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Seems like a “hard freeze” will wait until late next week for most, but Mon-Tues should be enough for BWI and RIC to hit 32 or just below.
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The pattern after the pattern change’s pattern changes once more. That’s the one!
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I think there’s been enough modeling to say that chances of early season snow is above (well above?) normal for the D6-14 period. Still not even a 50/50 chance given climo, but the pattern is nice with the strong -EPO providing cold air and the remnant SE ridge setting the storm track near us or to our south. Bummer we’re not getting this 1 month (or even 2 weeks) later.
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A healthy Andrews will obviously help. I wish they got the RBs more involved in the passing game. Maybe when Dobbins is back? The defense is getting better (and they’re playing worse teams) and Roquan is a beast. I think things are setting up well for them. Can they beat good teams in the playoffs? I’m still skeptical.
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Going into the bye, the schedule looks very favorable for the ravens. 4 very winnable games in a row after the bye. I’d like to have a solid cushion over the bengals so that final game in Cincy isn’t decisive.
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Got one crappy picture
