US should beat Iran though, right?? Obviously a draw or win today is much preferred, but as long as they don’t get crushed against England and then beat Iran, they should advance on goal differential?
I wouldn’t mind a can kick as long as we do get a supportive snow pattern eventually (which I do think will happen with that high latitude look plus MJO progression). Climo is so much better by Dec 15.
Whoa, apologies for not announcing this before. With DCA reaching freezing on 11/18, that actually gave @yoda and @MN Transplant a tie with 17 days total departure. @GramaxRefugee comes in 3rd with 18 days. But @MN Transplanthit the tiebreaker of 81F exactly right and thus is the winner! Congrats!
Last year we started getting teased in late Nov/early Dec and the can got kicked into early January. I wouldn’t be surprised in the least if the can gets kicked 4-7 days here or maybe more. This really good pattern has only been teased for ~2 days so far also, so not exactly a lock yet.
Yup. And that ridge bridge with a trop PV underneath could supply some legit cold air.
Pretty much. Had some snow in 2017 and 2020 too, but 2013 was last real winter month December.
Yup. End of the 12z Op GFS is illustrative of what could happen with such a look. Successive waves beat down the SE ridge and supply cold air and then we get a wave to move toward us with a conducive environment. This is a very normal way we get snow.
It’s a ways off so need to see how stable this look is…but man oh man, it’s pretty.
EPO-NAO ridge bridge??? Pinch me. Anyone who gets antsy seeing the SE ridge should chillax… That will get beat down and you want something keeping the storm track nearby in that look.
Maybe a squirrel is farting on my PWS, but it has not gotten as cold as nearby stations the last couple days. 34F now verbatim while my neighbor is 30 and BWI is in the 20s.
Ok soccer fans…what does a draw mean for their chances here? Assuming a win against Iran and loss against England, it may come down to goals for/against?