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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    Look at the precipitation charts. It’s not a cold/dry pattern.
  2. WxUSAF
    Bad news for the Debs, haters, and losers today. 12z GEFS back to winter D12+.
  3. WxUSAF
    I wouldn’t mind a can kick as long as we do get a supportive snow pattern eventually (which I do think will happen with that high latitude look plus MJO progression). Climo is so much better by Dec 15.
  4. WxUSAF
    12z GEFS presenting your overrunning/flat wave scenario for the post 12/6 period.
  5. WxUSAF
    Weenies over the holiday weekend be like
  6. WxUSAF
    Clear skies, very dry air, and weak downsloping.
  7. WxUSAF
    Hopefully we can score something small when the RELOAD starts to RELAX before we get our annual Xmas torch
  8. WxUSAF
    ^enjoy! Too bad Notre Dame is still closed, but hopefully you can see lots of sights and have some amazing food.
  9. WxUSAF
    Whoa, apologies for not announcing this before. With DCA reaching freezing on 11/18, that actually gave @yoda and @MN Transplant a tie with 17 days total departure. @GramaxRefugee comes in 3rd with 18 days. But @MN Transplanthit the tiebreaker of 81F exactly right and thus is the winner! Congrats!
  10. WxUSAF
    Last year we started getting teased in late Nov/early Dec and the can got kicked into early January. I wouldn’t be surprised in the least if the can gets kicked 4-7 days here or maybe more. This really good pattern has only been teased for ~2 days so far also, so not exactly a lock yet.
  11. WxUSAF
    @leesburg 04?
  12. WxUSAF
    The NAO signal has been there off and on for awhile. But the -EPO has really grown on the D10+ progs over the last 48 hours.
  13. WxUSAF
    @ORH_wxman posted 12z EPS in the NE sub. Looks like 6z GEFS. Pants tent
  14. WxUSAF
    Yup. And that ridge bridge with a trop PV underneath could supply some legit cold air. Pretty much. Had some snow in 2017 and 2020 too, but 2013 was last real winter month December.
  15. WxUSAF
    Yup. End of the 12z Op GFS is illustrative of what could happen with such a look. Successive waves beat down the SE ridge and supply cold air and then we get a wave to move toward us with a conducive environment. This is a very normal way we get snow. It’s a ways off so need to see how stable this look is…but man oh man, it’s pretty.
  16. WxUSAF
    EPO-NAO ridge bridge??? Pinch me. Anyone who gets antsy seeing the SE ridge should chillax… That will get beat down and you want something keeping the storm track nearby in that look.
  17. WxUSAF
    ALEET ALEET Digital Blue Fix at 12z ALEET ALEET
  18. WxUSAF
    D12-15 on the 6z GEFS = wooo baby
  19. WxUSAF
    Maybe a squirrel is farting on my PWS, but it has not gotten as cold as nearby stations the last couple days. 34F now verbatim while my neighbor is 30 and BWI is in the 20s.
  20. WxUSAF
    Ok soccer fans…what does a draw mean for their chances here? Assuming a win against Iran and loss against England, it may come down to goals for/against?
  21. WxUSAF
    Hi Chuck
  22. WxUSAF
    Yup! And IAD had 3 days +20 or more!
  23. WxUSAF
    Temp departures from normal yesterday: BWI: -15.4 IAD: -12.6 DCA: -12.8 RIC: -11.6
  24. WxUSAF
    ^straight up RELOADED there! That’s a nice look. Hope that holds more or less.
  25. WxUSAF
    20.5 for the low so far IMBY. BWI and IAD have both gotten at least to 19, so ok @CAPE, that’s a solid November low temp.
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