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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. Rates have gone way up. And for reasons I don’t understand, other suppliers have totally pulled out of the market.
  2. Love seeing the strong euro runs. I haven’t looked yet, but is there really any synoptic difference between the euro and the nams at this point? As of when I was looking yesterday, seems a lot just comes down to how heavy the precip is in the 9-18z period tomorrow. Nams seem uncharacteristically light with that. 24hrs out, euro *should* be kicking ass.
  3. 8F. Coldest of the season (obvs), and wind is still blowing a bit. I’d say we open a new thread after 12z runs today. So 2pm-ish.
  4. You’re doing good, rookie. Keep it up! But do the homework for Monday!
  5. Wondering about my Monday afternoon flight. In isolation, I think BWI will be fully operational by then. But 2-3 days of nationwide flight disruptions are going to take a while to clean out. So dunno.
  6. Wow, even JB is done this this storm. We’re in good (awful) company. So I don’t hide my own post for banter, temp still 37. Major drop hasn’t started yet.
  7. @mattie g update on Fairfax school status for Monday-Friday??
  8. One post about the euro 24-30 hours out. Lol. We’re all so freaking exhausted by this storm. Meet you in the LR thread??
  9. I think 12” is pretty unlikely unless we hold onto good ratios for awhile or something early. For eastern HoCo, I think 6-8” of snow and 1-3” of sleet. So I think double digit accumulations are certainly possible. Max snow DEPTH might never much exceed 6-7” though. Once the pingers start, we’ll compact a lot
  10. I feel like we’re just windshield wipering a bit now. With 12z we thought maybe we were inching in a better direction and now 18 has been mixed. Seems like mostly it will come down to how thumpy things are and when we precisely change to sleet.
  11. Many/most runs today have really heavy snow leading into the flip. Like that 14-17z period probably 1-2”/hr
  12. Oh I totally dream about model runs and reading/posting on here
  13. Took a melatonin and went to sleep at 930 last night. Still woke up before freaking 4am and started worrying about the MFing 0z euro. Went back to sleep for another hour at least after an hour of imagining digital sleet.
  14. Hrrr has it in the low-mid teens by midnight. About 15F drop in 3 hours around 23-02z
  15. Guess I don’t know how things have shifted, but that seems real good for CHO ( @SnowenOutThere) and central VA?
  16. Freezing spray advisory issued for the Bay and Potomac!! Where you at @yoda!?!?
  17. This. Blend tomorrow’s 12z 3k with the euro and you’re probably on target. Or just take the snowiest model and assume 15:1 ratios?
  18. So ready not to look at model output for this storm anymore…just freaking get on with it and start snowing!
  19. FWIW, I think HRRR soundings support this pretty well by eye.
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