Pinatubo and Hunga Tonga are very different eruptions with different mechanisms that will impact climate. But they both may produce strengthened NH winter strat PVs.
Honestly? Yeah, quite possibly…
The indices were all pretty bad going into the last 2 years as well, and portions of our region had very good years each year. So, I’m hoping we can muddle through again.
I’m not sure much/enough h2o will reach the northern hemisphere this year to notably impact the northern winter strat PV. Next winter on the other hand…
NAM 3k continues to show a high N-S oriented line move through the metros between 6-8pm. How long has it been since we had one of those instead of patchy pulse crap?
I just looked at my neighbor’s PWS website and saw we had ~0.1” of rain last night. Confirmed with with my cheapie rain gauge. Was around midnight. Everything was dry when I woke up this am and I didn’t notice. @Herb@MAWS @Scraff did you get anything?
Average or not, I’m done with this. Euro is weaksaucing the cold front next week and that’s annoying me. GFS and GGEM are more robust and drop us a frigid 5F below normal or so.