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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. Can you resist dropping turds in the punch bowl for 1 run? Please? Just let your inner weenie shine dude.
  2. PNA ridge standing taller and good separation between that lead shortwave over the Lakes. Definitely don’t hate it so far through 108hr…
  3. Better close the blinds until the GFS comes out
  4. The blinds have been opening and closing with lightning speed
  5. Yeah. We want some lead energy that suppresses the flow over the eastern conus. That helps our shortwave dig farther southwest.
  6. I finally looked at it. Actually farther west than 12z. This next week is going to be nuts in here White Christmas fever going to make crazy weenies
  7. Best if we close the blinds until we get a PNA ridge that’s not so far east and also not so far west.
  8. I feel like that’s still not happened…
  9. Kicker shortwave appears out of nowhere and shoved it east. Still a pretty gorgeous H5 look as I posted above.
  10. Something I noticed. Trying to figure out why our shortwave for the 22-23rd is digging so much more in the last 24hrs worth of runs. I think it’s this lead shortwave that moves through the Lakes around D4-5. It sort of merges with and pulls a piece of the 50-50 low west. This provides a lot more suppression of our shortwave and forces it well south. Compare yesterday and todays 18z GFS runs.
  11. Not sure if it will come together, but if we didn’t have a digital HECS 48hrs before this panel, I’d be stoked. This is a canonical look. #CAPEStorm2022
  12. We’re basically at D7 for the storm being on our door step. Long way to go but I like where we sit for now. I’d like to see us in a similar position (with wiggle room to maintain a nice event) around 0z Sunday. Everyone should also remember that even an area wide 3-6” type event would be HIGH TIER for mid-Atlantic La Niña December’s.
  13. We have sooooo much more leeway and margin for error if we get the shortwave to get south of our latitude. Increases the floor AND the ceiling.
  14. Solid week? We got teased a couple times that it would get forced to our south, but think that was all like D9? I’d have to go back in the thread to be sure.
  15. Snow into the cities by 0z next Thursday. Looks a bit euro like. But think this will end satisfactorily for most.
  16. Good snow shower here at O’Hare as I wait for my flight home. Vis around 1mi? Hoping it doesn’t screw up departures…
  17. @Heisy has gone from having his blinds closed because cutter to having them closed because fish storm in 48hrs
  18. Oh you sweet summer child. No self respecting weenie shows snow DEPTH.
  19. Really nice trends the last 12-24 hours. Long way to go still, but I wanted to see the shortwave dig more , and that’s exactly what we’re getting. I’d expect a few monsters in the EPS.
  20. Just Misses the full phase, capture, and TUCK, but this is a very merry Christmas from the euro.
  21. If it’s next Monday and Hoffman is complaining about being fringed, we’ll finally know itshappening.gif
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